Preseason Rankings
Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#172
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.4#89
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#145
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#205
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.5% 10.6% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.5 14.4
.500 or above 66.5% 71.2% 41.6%
.500 or above in Conference 61.8% 65.3% 43.9%
Conference Champion 10.8% 12.1% 4.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 4.3% 9.8%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round9.4% 10.5% 3.7%
Second Round1.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Campbell (Home) - 83.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 35 - 65 - 9
Quad 411 - 416 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 302   Campbell W 78-67 84%    
  Nov 12, 2019 133   Northern Kentucky W 76-75 52%    
  Nov 18, 2019 174   Middle Tennessee W 75-72 61%    
  Nov 21, 2019 110   Utah L 75-76 45%    
  Nov 30, 2019 349   @ Delaware St. W 64-52 84%    
  Dec 07, 2019 218   @ Winthrop L 81-82 49%    
  Dec 14, 2019 322   NC Central W 77-65 86%    
  Dec 19, 2019 297   @ Troy W 76-72 64%    
  Dec 21, 2019 138   @ South Alabama L 71-76 33%    
  Jan 02, 2020 122   Georgia Southern L 82-83 48%    
  Jan 04, 2020 162   Georgia St. W 78-76 58%    
  Jan 06, 2020 223   Louisiana Monroe W 78-72 68%    
  Jan 09, 2020 156   @ Texas St. L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 11, 2020 135   @ Texas Arlington L 70-75 33%    
  Jan 16, 2020 220   Arkansas Little Rock W 79-73 68%    
  Jan 18, 2020 271   Arkansas St. W 81-72 77%    
  Jan 25, 2020 212   Appalachian St. W 83-78 67%    
  Jan 30, 2020 220   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 01, 2020 271   @ Arkansas St. W 78-75 58%    
  Feb 06, 2020 156   Texas St. W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 08, 2020 135   Texas Arlington W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 13, 2020 122   @ Georgia Southern L 79-86 29%    
  Feb 15, 2020 162   @ Georgia St. L 75-79 38%    
  Feb 20, 2020 297   Troy W 79-69 79%    
  Feb 22, 2020 138   South Alabama W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 29, 2020 212   @ Appalachian St. L 80-81 48%    
  Mar 03, 2020 202   @ Louisiana L 81-82 46%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 2.7 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 10.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.4 3.1 1.4 0.3 0.1 10.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.1 2.6 0.9 0.1 10.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.6 2.5 0.5 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.1 2.5 0.4 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.1 2.5 0.4 0.0 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.6 2.5 0.5 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.0 2.2 0.5 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 6.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.4 3.7 5.4 6.8 8.4 9.4 9.7 10.4 9.7 9.1 7.5 6.1 4.2 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
18-2 95.8% 1.4    1.3 0.1
17-3 89.8% 2.6    2.0 0.6 0.0
16-4 64.6% 2.7    1.6 1.0 0.1 0.0
15-5 34.5% 2.1    0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 13.0% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.8% 10.8 6.5 3.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 78.4% 71.6% 6.8% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.8%
19-1 0.5% 60.4% 46.9% 13.5% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 25.4%
18-2 1.5% 51.0% 49.7% 1.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 2.6%
17-3 2.9% 41.9% 41.8% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.7 0.1%
16-4 4.2% 33.1% 33.1% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.8 0.0%
15-5 6.1% 28.2% 28.2% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.4
14-6 7.5% 18.9% 18.9% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 6.1
13-7 9.1% 13.6% 13.6% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 7.9
12-8 9.7% 6.6% 6.6% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 9.0
11-9 10.4% 3.7% 3.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.0
10-10 9.7% 1.7% 1.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.6
9-11 9.4% 0.6% 0.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.3
8-12 8.4% 0.4% 0.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 8.3
7-13 6.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.8
6-14 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 5.4
5-15 3.7% 3.7
4-16 2.4% 2.4
3-17 1.3% 1.3
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.5% 9.4% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.6 2.8 1.8 0.5 90.5 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 4.7 10.1 21.7 23.2 11.6 10.9 10.9 10.9 0.7