Preseason Rankings
Denver
Summit League
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#305
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.0#206
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#267
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#317
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 4.7% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 12.5% 26.7% 9.4%
.500 or above in Conference 22.7% 34.4% 20.1%
Conference Champion 2.0% 3.7% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 35.2% 23.3% 37.8%
First Four1.1% 1.6% 1.0%
First Round1.9% 4.0% 1.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado St. (Away) - 17.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 48 - 810 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 179   @ Colorado St. L 68-78 18%    
  Nov 09, 2019 236   Utah Valley L 72-73 46%    
  Nov 12, 2019 34   @ Utah St. L 62-85 2%    
  Nov 23, 2019 296   @ UC Riverside L 65-69 37%    
  Nov 27, 2019 128   @ Santa Clara L 64-77 12%    
  Nov 29, 2019 213   Cal St. Fullerton L 71-76 31%    
  Nov 30, 2019 294   Southeast Missouri St. L 73-74 47%    
  Dec 03, 2019 303   Jackson St. W 68-65 60%    
  Dec 08, 2019 82   @ UCLA L 70-88 6%    
  Dec 10, 2019 55   New Mexico St. L 64-79 10%    
  Dec 14, 2019 170   Air Force L 68-73 34%    
  Dec 17, 2019 214   @ Northern Colorado L 66-74 24%    
  Dec 21, 2019 275   Wyoming W 72-71 54%    
  Dec 29, 2019 153   North Dakota St. L 68-74 31%    
  Jan 02, 2020 262   North Dakota W 75-74 51%    
  Jan 05, 2020 165   @ South Dakota L 66-77 17%    
  Jan 08, 2020 224   South Dakota St. L 76-78 44%    
  Jan 11, 2020 283   @ Western Illinois L 70-74 35%    
  Jan 18, 2020 195   Nebraska Omaha L 73-76 39%    
  Jan 23, 2020 262   @ North Dakota L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 25, 2020 153   @ North Dakota St. L 65-77 16%    
  Jan 30, 2020 165   South Dakota L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 01, 2020 205   @ Oral Roberts L 70-79 23%    
  Feb 08, 2020 241   Purdue Fort Wayne L 78-79 47%    
  Feb 14, 2020 224   @ South Dakota St. L 73-81 25%    
  Feb 16, 2020 195   @ Nebraska Omaha L 70-79 23%    
  Feb 20, 2020 205   Oral Roberts L 73-76 41%    
  Feb 26, 2020 241   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 75-82 28%    
  Feb 29, 2020 283   Western Illinois W 73-71 55%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.3 1.8 0.5 0.1 5.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.0 2.8 0.7 0.0 7.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.1 3.3 0.6 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.9 4.5 0.9 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.7 6.3 4.9 1.0 0.0 15.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.7 7.2 4.8 1.2 0.0 19.2 8th
9th 1.8 4.9 7.5 7.0 3.6 0.7 0.0 25.5 9th
Total 1.8 5.0 8.7 12.0 13.6 13.5 12.1 10.5 8.0 6.1 4.2 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 93.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 76.1% 0.5    0.3 0.1 0.0
12-4 55.9% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.1
11-5 17.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.0% 50.5% 50.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 28.1% 28.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.6% 23.0% 23.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
12-4 1.3% 15.0% 15.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1
11-5 2.3% 13.2% 13.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.0
10-6 4.2% 9.6% 9.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.8
9-7 6.1% 5.9% 5.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.7
8-8 8.0% 3.9% 3.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 7.7
7-9 10.5% 2.8% 2.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 10.2
6-10 12.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.9
5-11 13.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.4
4-12 13.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.6
3-13 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.0
2-14 8.7% 8.7
1-15 5.0% 5.0
0-16 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.6 97.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%