Preseason Rankings
Wyoming
Mountain West
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#275
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.7#125
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#305
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#212
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.4 14.0
.500 or above 8.3% 9.9% 2.5%
.500 or above in Conference 6.6% 7.5% 3.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 31.7% 29.0% 41.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho St. (Home) - 78.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 32 - 73 - 16
Quad 46 - 49 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 335   Idaho St. W 76-68 78%    
  Nov 10, 2019 78   @ South Carolina L 65-81 6%    
  Nov 13, 2019 213   Cal St. Fullerton L 71-72 49%    
  Nov 16, 2019 74   Oregon St. L 65-75 18%    
  Nov 19, 2019 219   Detroit Mercy L 76-77 50%    
  Nov 21, 2019 202   Louisiana L 77-78 47%    
  Nov 24, 2019 40   Colorado L 62-79 6%    
  Dec 04, 2019 170   Air Force L 68-71 40%    
  Dec 07, 2019 92   New Mexico L 76-84 23%    
  Dec 14, 2019 214   Northern Colorado L 68-69 48%    
  Dec 18, 2019 236   Utah Valley W 72-71 53%    
  Dec 21, 2019 305   @ Denver L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 01, 2020 90   @ Boise St. L 62-77 11%    
  Jan 04, 2020 179   @ Colorado St. L 68-76 26%    
  Jan 08, 2020 77   San Diego St. L 64-74 20%    
  Jan 11, 2020 146   UNLV L 70-74 36%    
  Jan 14, 2020 95   @ Nevada L 66-80 12%    
  Jan 18, 2020 118   Fresno St. L 66-73 29%    
  Jan 21, 2020 77   @ San Diego St. L 61-77 9%    
  Jan 28, 2020 34   Utah St. L 65-80 11%    
  Feb 01, 2020 330   @ San Jose St. W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 04, 2020 90   Boise St. L 65-74 24%    
  Feb 08, 2020 92   @ New Mexico L 73-87 12%    
  Feb 15, 2020 179   Colorado St. L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 19, 2020 34   @ Utah St. L 62-83 4%    
  Feb 22, 2020 170   @ Air Force L 65-74 24%    
  Feb 25, 2020 95   Nevada L 69-77 26%    
  Feb 29, 2020 118   @ Fresno St. L 63-76 15%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.4 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.2 1.9 5.3 6.5 3.7 0.9 0.0 18.6 9th
10th 2.7 8.4 10.6 8.0 3.5 0.6 0.0 33.7 10th
11th 4.3 7.3 5.8 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 21.1 11th
Total 4.3 9.9 14.5 15.4 14.4 12.8 9.9 7.4 4.8 3.0 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 67.4% 0.0    0.0
15-3 98.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 36.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 65.1% 65.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 34.7% 2.0% 32.7% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.3%
14-4 0.1% 29.5% 26.8% 2.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7%
13-5 0.3% 6.1% 3.4% 2.8% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.9%
12-6 0.5% 3.9% 3.7% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2%
11-7 1.0% 3.2% 3.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
10-8 1.7% 2.8% 2.3% 0.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.5%
9-9 3.0% 0.7% 0.7% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0
8-10 4.8% 0.8% 0.8% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
7-11 7.4% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.4
6-12 9.9% 0.2% 0.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 9.9
5-13 12.8% 0.1% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.8
4-14 14.4% 14.4
3-15 15.4% 15.4
2-16 14.5% 14.5
1-17 9.9% 9.9
0-18 4.3% 4.3
Total 100% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%