IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-14.1	#346
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.9	#258
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-9.1	#346

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.0	#312

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.2%	7.6%	3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	6.9%	26.9%	6.3%
.500 or above in Conference	36.5%	62.4%	35.8%
Conference Champion	2.8%	9.7%	2.6%
Last Place in Conference	14.2%	3.8%	14.5%

First Four	3.0%	6.8%	2.9%
First Round	1.5%	4.1%	1.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Murray St. (Away) - 2.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 10
Quad 4	8 - 11	9 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2019	119	@ Murray St.	L	60-80	3%
Nov 14, 2019	55	@ New Mexico St.	L	54-81	1%
Nov 22, 2019	88	@ Nebraska	L	56-79	2%
Nov 25, 2019	195	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	63-78	9%
Nov 26, 2019	253	IUPUI	L	67-73	30%
Dec 01, 2019	242	@ Tulane	L	64-77	14%
Dec 08, 2019	132	@ Akron	L	54-73	5%
Dec 12, 2019	103	@ Wright St.	L	55-76	3%
Dec 14, 2019	56	@ Butler	L	54-80	1%
Dec 18, 2019	228	@ California Baptist	L	64-77	13%
Dec 20, 2019	160	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	57-74	7%
Jan 04, 2020	265	@ Texas Southern	L	72-83	17%
Jan 06, 2020	277	@ Prairie View	L	66-76	19%
Jan 11, 2020	269	Grambling St.	L	67-72	33%
Jan 13, 2020	303	Jackson St.	L	62-65	41%
Jan 18, 2020	343	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	L	62-66	39%
Jan 20, 2020	353	@ Mississippi Valley	W	69-68	53%
Jan 25, 2020	332	Alabama St.	W	68-67	51%
Jan 27, 2020	352	Alabama A&M	W	66-60	71%
Feb 01, 2020	345	Alcorn St.	W	67-64	59%
Feb 08, 2020	269	@ Grambling St.	L	64-75	18%
Feb 10, 2020	303	@ Jackson St.	L	59-68	23%
Feb 15, 2020	343	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	65-63	59%
Feb 17, 2020	353	Mississippi Valley	W	72-65	72%
Feb 22, 2020	332	@ Alabama St.	L	64-70	32%
Feb 24, 2020	352	@ Alabama A&M	W	63-62	51%
Feb 29, 2020	345	@ Alcorn St.	L	64-67	40%
Mar 05, 2020	265	Texas Southern	L	75-80	34%
Mar 07, 2020	277	Prairie View	L	69-73	36%
Projected Record						8 - 21	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0		2.8	1st
2nd											0.1	0.7	1.5	1.6	0.8	0.2	0.0				4.8	2nd
3rd										0.2	1.2	2.6	2.3	0.7	0.1	0.0					7.1	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.8	3.7	2.8	0.8	0.0							9.4	4th
5th							0.0	0.5	2.7	4.7	3.2	0.6	0.0								11.9	5th
6th						0.1	0.9	3.7	5.6	3.0	0.5	0.0									13.8	6th
7th				0.0	0.1	1.3	4.2	5.6	2.8	0.5	0.0										14.6	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.9	5.0	4.8	2.1	0.3												14.4	8th
9th		0.0	0.6	2.7	4.5	3.4	1.2	0.1	0.0												12.5	9th
10th	0.4	1.4	2.5	2.5	1.5	0.4	0.0	0.0													8.8	10th

Total	0.4	1.4	3.2	5.4	8.0	10.2	11.2	12.0	11.7	10.2	8.7	6.7	4.8	2.9	1.7	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2
16-2	95.3%	0.4		0.3	0.0
15-3	77.7%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0
14-4	42.3%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	20.2%	0.6		0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0
12-6	4.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.8%	2.8		1.5	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		64.6%	64.6%		15.1															0.0		0.0	0.0
17-1	0.2%		30.1%	30.1%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.4%		31.0%	31.0%		15.9																0.0	0.1	0.3
15-3	0.9%		22.6%	22.6%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7
14-4	1.7%		20.5%	20.5%		16.0																0.0	0.3	1.3
13-5	2.9%		13.6%	13.6%		16.0																	0.4	2.5
12-6	4.8%		9.5%	9.5%		16.0																	0.5	4.4
11-7	6.7%		6.3%	6.3%		16.0																	0.4	6.3
10-8	8.7%		4.1%	4.1%		16.0																	0.4	8.4
9-9	10.2%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.2	10.0
8-10	11.7%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.3	11.4
7-11	12.0%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.2	11.9
6-12	11.2%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	11.1
5-13	10.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
4-14	8.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.0
3-15	5.4%																							5.4
2-16	3.2%																							3.2
1-17	1.4%																							1.4
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		3.2%	3.2%	0.0%	16.0															0.0	0.0	3.1	96.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%