Preseason Rankings
Tulane
American Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#242
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.2#75
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#247
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#241
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.1 11.1 10.8
.500 or above 9.4% 12.0% 2.5%
.500 or above in Conference 4.0% 4.9% 1.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 52.8% 48.5% 64.0%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Home) - 72.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 21 - 61 - 12
Quad 32 - 53 - 17
Quad 45 - 29 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 299   SE Louisiana W 73-67 72%    
  Nov 12, 2019 303   Jackson St. W 72-65 73%    
  Nov 16, 2019 347   Northwestern St. W 80-67 87%    
  Nov 21, 2019 48   Mississippi St. L 67-82 9%    
  Dec 01, 2019 346   Southern W 77-64 86%    
  Dec 04, 2019 238   @ Southern Miss L 69-72 38%    
  Dec 08, 2019 141   Saint Louis L 67-73 32%    
  Dec 16, 2019 345   Alcorn St. W 77-65 86%    
  Dec 20, 2019 132   Akron L 66-72 30%    
  Dec 31, 2019 26   @ Memphis L 73-93 4%    
  Jan 04, 2020 29   Cincinnati L 61-75 12%    
  Jan 08, 2020 73   @ Connecticut L 69-84 11%    
  Jan 11, 2020 83   @ Temple L 68-82 12%    
  Jan 14, 2020 94   Central Florida L 66-72 30%    
  Jan 18, 2020 100   Tulsa L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 25, 2020 203   @ East Carolina L 72-77 34%    
  Jan 29, 2020 79   South Florida L 68-76 25%    
  Feb 01, 2020 89   @ SMU L 64-77 14%    
  Feb 06, 2020 32   @ Houston L 61-81 5%    
  Feb 08, 2020 203   East Carolina W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 12, 2020 83   Temple L 71-79 26%    
  Feb 16, 2020 58   @ Wichita St. L 65-82 9%    
  Feb 19, 2020 89   SMU L 67-74 29%    
  Feb 22, 2020 94   @ Central Florida L 63-75 16%    
  Feb 25, 2020 100   @ Tulsa L 68-80 16%    
  Feb 29, 2020 26   Memphis L 76-90 12%    
  Mar 08, 2020 73   Connecticut L 72-81 24%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.1 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 4.3 5.1 2.6 0.4 0.0 13.6 10th
11th 0.7 4.6 8.9 7.3 3.3 0.4 0.0 25.2 11th
12th 6.8 12.3 12.4 6.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 40.6 12th
Total 6.8 13.1 17.1 16.8 14.0 11.0 7.9 5.8 3.6 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 40.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 40.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 100.0% 46.7% 53.3% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 57.3% 1.2% 56.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 56.8%
13-5 0.1% 17.6% 1.0% 16.7% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 16.8%
12-6 0.2% 9.6% 1.2% 8.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.5%
11-7 0.6% 4.0% 0.3% 3.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.8%
10-8 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
9-9 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
8-10 3.6% 0.2% 0.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 3.6
7-11 5.8% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 5.8
6-12 7.9% 0.1% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 7.9
5-13 11.0% 11.0
4-14 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 14.0
3-15 16.8% 16.8
2-16 17.1% 17.1
1-17 13.1% 13.1
0-18 6.8% 6.8
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%