Preseason Rankings
UMKC
Western Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#234
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.9#227
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#243
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#222
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 6.7% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 13.6 14.5
.500 or above 25.5% 55.1% 23.7%
.500 or above in Conference 45.7% 66.7% 44.4%
Conference Champion 2.9% 7.0% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.0% 1.0% 5.3%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
First Round3.1% 6.6% 2.9%
Second Round0.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma St. (Away) - 6.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 31 - 6
Quad 33 - 63 - 12
Quad 48 - 411 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 49   @ Oklahoma St. L 61-78 6%    
  Nov 13, 2019 145   @ Drake L 68-76 23%    
  Nov 15, 2019 250   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-69 42%    
  Nov 22, 2019 190   George Washington L 68-70 43%    
  Nov 30, 2019 283   Western Illinois W 73-67 70%    
  Dec 04, 2019 35   @ Iowa St. L 64-82 5%    
  Dec 10, 2019 316   @ McNeese St. W 71-69 59%    
  Dec 14, 2019 4   @ Kansas L 61-87 1%    
  Dec 17, 2019 112   Toledo L 67-72 35%    
  Dec 22, 2019 165   @ South Dakota L 66-73 28%    
  Jan 02, 2020 168   Seattle L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 04, 2020 236   Utah Valley W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 09, 2020 230   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 11, 2020 55   @ New Mexico St. L 61-78 8%    
  Jan 16, 2020 197   Cal St. Bakersfield W 68-67 55%    
  Jan 18, 2020 137   Grand Canyon L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 25, 2020 228   @ California Baptist L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 01, 2020 351   @ Chicago St. W 79-69 80%    
  Feb 06, 2020 230   UT Rio Grande Valley W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 08, 2020 55   New Mexico St. L 64-75 19%    
  Feb 13, 2020 137   @ Grand Canyon L 67-76 24%    
  Feb 15, 2020 197   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 65-70 35%    
  Feb 19, 2020 228   California Baptist W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 29, 2020 351   Chicago St. W 82-66 91%    
  Mar 05, 2020 236   @ Utah Valley L 69-72 41%    
  Mar 07, 2020 168   @ Seattle L 66-73 29%    
Projected Record 10 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.3 1.7 3.1 2.6 1.0 0.2 9.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.7 2.6 0.6 0.0 11.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.5 5.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 5.5 5.9 1.7 0.1 0.0 14.6 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 6.1 6.0 1.6 0.1 15.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.9 5.1 1.3 0.1 15.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 3.9 5.0 2.9 0.8 0.1 14.2 8th
9th 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.6 9th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.4 5.0 8.2 10.8 13.3 13.7 12.8 10.8 8.8 6.1 4.1 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 77.9% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
13-3 46.0% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.0
12-4 19.7% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
11-5 3.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 72.2% 70.8% 1.4% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8%
15-1 0.3% 39.6% 34.8% 4.8% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.3%
14-2 0.8% 26.6% 24.1% 2.5% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 3.3%
13-3 1.9% 19.7% 19.7% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6
12-4 4.1% 13.7% 13.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.5
11-5 6.1% 8.0% 8.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.6
10-6 8.8% 6.2% 6.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 8.3
9-7 10.8% 3.9% 3.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 10.4
8-8 12.8% 1.9% 1.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.5
7-9 13.7% 1.2% 1.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 13.6
6-10 13.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.2
5-11 10.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.7
4-12 8.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.1
3-13 5.0% 5.0
2-14 2.4% 2.4
1-15 0.8% 0.8
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.8 96.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%