Preseason Rankings
William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#246
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.8#124
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#194
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#296
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 5.9% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 28.4% 39.0% 16.5%
.500 or above in Conference 42.6% 50.8% 33.4%
Conference Champion 4.2% 5.8% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 12.8% 9.3% 16.8%
First Four0.9% 0.8% 1.1%
First Round4.2% 5.5% 2.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Away) - 52.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 410 - 613 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 308   @ High Point W 69-68 53%    
  Nov 08, 2019 184   @ American L 71-77 29%    
  Nov 12, 2019 107   @ Wofford L 68-80 15%    
  Nov 15, 2019 245   Hampton W 82-79 60%    
  Nov 18, 2019 38   @ Oklahoma L 67-86 5%    
  Nov 21, 2019 113   @ Stanford L 70-81 16%    
  Nov 26, 2019 264   Morehead St. W 77-73 64%    
  Nov 30, 2019 104   @ Buffalo L 77-89 15%    
  Dec 03, 2019 139   Old Dominion L 65-68 40%    
  Dec 08, 2019 288   @ Fairfield L 73-74 48%    
  Dec 19, 2019 221   @ Saint Joseph's L 74-78 36%    
  Dec 22, 2019 248   St. Francis (PA) W 78-77 50%    
  Dec 30, 2019 317   @ Elon W 76-74 58%    
  Jan 02, 2020 148   @ Hofstra L 73-82 24%    
  Jan 04, 2020 130   @ Northeastern L 69-79 21%    
  Jan 09, 2020 268   UNC Wilmington W 82-78 64%    
  Jan 11, 2020 123   College of Charleston L 70-75 34%    
  Jan 16, 2020 240   @ Delaware L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 18, 2020 254   @ Drexel L 77-79 41%    
  Jan 23, 2020 232   James Madison W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 25, 2020 181   Towson L 70-71 50%    
  Jan 30, 2020 130   Northeastern L 72-76 38%    
  Feb 01, 2020 148   Hofstra L 76-79 42%    
  Feb 06, 2020 123   @ College of Charleston L 67-78 19%    
  Feb 08, 2020 268   @ UNC Wilmington L 79-81 44%    
  Feb 13, 2020 254   Drexel W 80-76 61%    
  Feb 15, 2020 240   Delaware W 72-69 59%    
  Feb 20, 2020 181   @ Towson L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 22, 2020 232   @ James Madison L 70-74 38%    
  Feb 29, 2020 317   Elon W 79-71 74%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.2 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 3.2 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.1 3.0 0.6 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.1 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.4 2.9 0.4 0.0 12.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 3.5 5.5 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 3.8 4.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 12.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.8 4.2 3.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 11.5 9th
10th 0.3 1.1 2.1 2.5 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 8.1 10th
Total 0.3 1.1 2.5 4.4 7.3 8.6 10.3 11.6 11.3 11.0 9.3 7.8 6.0 4.2 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 93.8% 0.5    0.4 0.0
15-3 77.5% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 50.1% 1.1    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 22.1% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 64.9% 64.9% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 47.2% 47.0% 0.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5%
16-2 0.5% 32.8% 32.6% 0.2% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3%
15-3 1.4% 31.6% 31.6% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
14-4 2.3% 21.7% 21.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.8
13-5 4.2% 17.3% 17.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 3.4
12-6 6.0% 11.6% 11.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 5.3
11-7 7.8% 7.5% 7.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 7.2
10-8 9.3% 5.4% 5.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 8.8
9-9 11.0% 4.0% 4.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 10.6
8-10 11.3% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 11.1
7-11 11.6% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.5
6-12 10.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.2
5-13 8.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.5
4-14 7.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.3
3-15 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.4
2-16 2.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.5
1-17 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.1
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.5 1.7 95.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%