Elon
Colonial Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#270
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#271
Pace64.9#281
Improvement+5.2#19

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#200
First Shot-0.4#199
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#193
Layup/Dunks-10.2#353
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#120
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.3#3
Freethrows-0.3#194
Improvement+4.5#9

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#318
First Shot-7.0#342
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#45
Layups/Dunks-0.4#192
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#315
Freethrows-4.1#346
Improvement+0.7#135
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 113 - 16
Quad 47 - 510 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2019 58   @ Georgia Tech L 41-64 6%     0 - 1 -11.4 -26.8 +17.5
  Nov 15, 2019 15   @ Michigan L 50-70 3%     0 - 2 -2.7 -10.2 +5.7
  Nov 20, 2019 68   @ North Carolina L 61-75 7%     0 - 3 -3.3 -8.6 +5.6
  Nov 23, 2019 268   Manhattan L 64-69 61%     0 - 4 -14.1 -5.6 -8.8
  Nov 26, 2019 83   Furman L 61-97 19%     0 - 5 -32.7 -13.7 -16.9
  Nov 28, 2019 137   Texas Arlington L 67-77 31%     0 - 6 -10.9 -2.1 -9.3
  Dec 02, 2019 351   Kennesaw St. W 70-46 92%     1 - 6 +1.9 -3.3 +7.7
  Dec 05, 2019 338   @ High Point L 66-70 OT 62%     1 - 7 -13.3 -11.8 -1.5
  Dec 17, 2019 271   @ Campbell L 46-60 39%     1 - 8 -17.2 -22.4 +3.7
  Dec 21, 2019 140   @ Winthrop L 80-85 16%     1 - 9 -0.3 +1.4 -1.2
  Dec 30, 2019 194   William & Mary L 73-74 44%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -5.7 +3.5 -9.3
  Jan 02, 2020 147   @ Northeastern L 68-77 16%     1 - 11 0 - 2 -4.6 +1.1 -6.3
  Jan 04, 2020 112   @ Hofstra L 75-102 11%     1 - 12 0 - 3 -20.0 +2.4 -21.9
  Jan 09, 2020 163   College of Charleston L 65-73 36%     1 - 13 0 - 4 -10.6 -6.5 -4.6
  Jan 11, 2020 303   UNC Wilmington W 80-63 68%     2 - 13 1 - 4 +6.0 +7.0 -0.5
  Jan 16, 2020 243   @ Drexel L 41-63 33%     2 - 14 1 - 5 -23.6 -32.1 +7.8
  Jan 18, 2020 184   @ Delaware L 78-79 21%     2 - 15 1 - 6 +1.2 +8.9 -7.8
  Jan 23, 2020 165   Towson L 61-72 37%     2 - 16 1 - 7 -13.6 -7.2 -7.9
  Jan 25, 2020 305   James Madison W 82-73 68%     3 - 16 2 - 7 -2.1 -0.5 -1.8
  Jan 30, 2020 112   Hofstra L 63-86 25%     3 - 17 2 - 8 -22.0 -6.7 -17.0
  Feb 01, 2020 147   Northeastern W 74-69 33%     4 - 17 3 - 8 +3.4 +3.7 -0.1
  Feb 06, 2020 303   @ UNC Wilmington W 62-56 46%     5 - 17 4 - 8 +1.0 -9.7 +10.7
  Feb 08, 2020 163   @ College of Charleston W 72-65 18%     6 - 17 5 - 8 +10.4 +9.0 +2.4
  Feb 13, 2020 184   Delaware L 75-81 41%     6 - 18 5 - 9 -9.9 +0.1 -10.1
  Feb 15, 2020 243   Drexel W 75-70 56%     7 - 18 6 - 9 -2.7 +8.0 -10.0
  Feb 20, 2020 305   @ James Madison W 70-62 46%     8 - 18 7 - 9 +3.0 -0.4 +4.1
  Feb 22, 2020 165   @ Towson L 71-84 18%     8 - 19 7 - 10 -9.6 +7.2 -18.4
  Feb 29, 2020 194   @ William & Mary L 79-86 24%     8 - 20 7 - 11 -5.7 +2.9 -8.3
  Mar 07, 2020 305   James Madison W 63-61 57%     9 - 20 -6.1 -8.7 +2.8
  Mar 08, 2020 194   William & Mary W 68-63 33%     10 - 20 +3.3 +3.5 +0.6
  Mar 09, 2020 147   Northeastern L 60-68 24%     10 - 21 -6.6 -4.0 -3.8
Projected Record 10 - 21 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%