Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#128
Expected Predictive Rating+4.0#115
Pace65.8#260
Improvement-2.2#267

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#117
First Shot+1.6#123
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#140
Layup/Dunks+3.7#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#271
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#214
Freethrows+0.6#130
Improvement-4.2#336

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#150
First Shot-0.5#187
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#74
Layups/Dunks-3.6#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#134
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#73
Freethrows+0.0#175
Improvement+1.9#84
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 23 - 33 - 6
Quad 36 - 69 - 12
Quad 48 - 017 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 6   @ Dayton L 81-86 7%     0 - 1 +14.3 +11.7 +2.8
  Nov 13, 2019 11   @ Louisville L 62-91 9%     0 - 2 -11.1 -1.0 -11.0
  Nov 17, 2019 120   Ball St. L 55-69 48%     0 - 3 -10.6 -7.8 -4.0
  Nov 21, 2019 103   Duquesne L 71-74 42%     0 - 4 +1.7 -1.2 +2.9
  Nov 22, 2019 197   Loyola Marymount W 72-60 67%     1 - 4 +10.1 +13.9 -1.3
  Nov 24, 2019 191   Air Force W 84-74 66%     2 - 4 +8.4 +6.4 +2.0
  Dec 03, 2019 121   North Dakota St. W 71-60 60%     3 - 4 +11.3 +1.2 +10.7
  Dec 07, 2019 127   @ Wright St. W 84-77 OT 38%     4 - 4 +12.8 +3.9 +8.0
  Dec 18, 2019 262   Tennessee St. W 78-72 86%     5 - 4 -2.9 -3.5 +0.1
  Dec 22, 2019 353   Chicago St. W 85-64 99%     6 - 4 -5.1 -7.6 +1.0
  Dec 30, 2019 173   Southern Illinois W 68-56 72%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +8.7 +1.6 +8.0
  Jan 04, 2020 166   @ Drake L 76-80 47%     7 - 5 1 - 1 -0.6 +5.6 -6.2
  Jan 07, 2020 59   @ Northern Iowa L 60-68 21%     7 - 6 1 - 2 +3.4 +0.4 +1.7
  Jan 11, 2020 217   Illinois St. W 65-52 79%     8 - 6 2 - 2 +7.1 -8.4 +15.7
  Jan 15, 2020 279   Evansville W 65-42 87%     9 - 6 3 - 2 +13.4 -8.0 +22.9
  Jan 18, 2020 146   @ Valparaiso L 77-86 43%     9 - 7 3 - 3 -4.6 +5.6 -10.1
  Jan 22, 2020 106   @ Loyola Chicago L 55-75 32%     9 - 8 3 - 4 -12.5 -3.8 -11.9
  Jan 25, 2020 109   Bradley W 61-53 56%     10 - 8 4 - 4 +9.3 -1.4 +12.0
  Jan 29, 2020 166   Drake W 58-56 70%     11 - 8 5 - 4 -0.6 -8.9 +8.5
  Feb 01, 2020 119   @ Missouri St. W 78-68 36%     12 - 8 6 - 4 +16.4 +18.5 -0.7
  Feb 05, 2020 106   Loyola Chicago W 68-39 55%     13 - 8 7 - 4 +30.5 +12.6 +24.2
  Feb 08, 2020 217   @ Illinois St. L 67-74 60%     13 - 9 7 - 5 -6.9 -7.0 +0.3
  Feb 12, 2020 109   @ Bradley L 61-72 33%     13 - 10 7 - 6 -3.7 -2.5 -2.3
  Feb 16, 2020 119   Missouri St. L 58-71 59%     13 - 11 7 - 7 -12.6 -12.7 -0.3
  Feb 20, 2020 59   Northern Iowa W 67-64 40%     14 - 11 8 - 7 +8.3 +3.5 +5.2
  Feb 23, 2020 279   @ Evansville W 64-62 73%     15 - 11 9 - 7 -1.6 -4.4 +3.0
  Feb 26, 2020 173   @ Southern Illinois W 77-68 50%     16 - 11 10 - 7 +11.7 +13.7 -1.3
  Feb 29, 2020 146   Valparaiso W 71-58 66%     17 - 11 11 - 7 +11.4 +5.2 +7.8
  Mar 06, 2020 119   Missouri St. L 51-78 47%     17 - 12 -23.6 -19.9 -3.8
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%