Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#281
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#298
Pace71.7#100
Improvement+3.9#46

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#255
First Shot-4.2#298
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#98
Layup/Dunks-4.0#324
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#96
Freethrows-1.7#292
Improvement+0.9#136

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#285
First Shot-3.9#298
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#159
Layups/Dunks-4.8#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#47
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#116
Freethrows-2.2#304
Improvement+3.1#44
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 151 - 19
Quad 44 - 45 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 236   @ Lipscomb W 73-70 30%     1 - 0 +1.8 -9.6 +11.1
  Nov 18, 2019 189   @ Coastal Carolina L 72-93 21%     1 - 1 -19.3 -10.4 -6.4
  Nov 21, 2019 13   Villanova L 69-98 4%     1 - 2 -14.6 -0.9 -12.1
  Nov 22, 2019 179   Tulane L 74-86 28%     1 - 3 -12.6 -0.3 -12.0
  Nov 24, 2019 158   Ohio L 63-75 24%     1 - 4 -11.4 -12.5 +1.6
  Nov 30, 2019 108   Belmont L 59-71 22%     1 - 5 -10.6 -11.9 +0.9
  Dec 07, 2019 130   @ Murray St. L 52-85 13%     1 - 6 -27.5 -18.5 -8.2
  Dec 14, 2019 93   @ Mississippi L 64-82 9%     1 - 7 -9.5 -3.1 -6.4
  Dec 21, 2019 126   St. Bonaventure L 65-66 27%     1 - 8 -1.2 -5.2 +4.0
  Dec 29, 2019 70   Rhode Island L 62-89 15%     1 - 9 -22.6 -10.7 -10.3
  Jan 02, 2020 168   @ Old Dominion L 60-70 17%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -6.8 -5.8 -1.4
  Jan 04, 2020 171   @ Charlotte L 62-68 18%     1 - 11 0 - 2 -3.1 -5.2 +2.0
  Jan 09, 2020 142   Marshall L 75-79 30%     1 - 12 0 - 3 -5.4 -1.5 -3.6
  Jan 11, 2020 111   Western Kentucky L 53-69 23%     1 - 13 0 - 4 -15.0 -21.4 +6.3
  Jan 16, 2020 183   @ Florida Atlantic L 94-97 OT 20%     1 - 14 0 - 5 -0.8 +11.6 -12.0
  Jan 18, 2020 150   @ Florida International L 69-83 15%     1 - 15 0 - 6 -9.8 -5.8 -3.2
  Jan 23, 2020 88   Louisiana Tech L 73-80 18%     1 - 16 0 - 7 -4.0 +1.4 -5.5
  Jan 25, 2020 267   Southern Miss W 65-63 59%     2 - 16 1 - 7 -7.0 -7.5 +0.6
  Jan 30, 2020 188   @ UTEP L 66-67 21%     2 - 17 1 - 8 +0.8 -2.5 +3.3
  Feb 01, 2020 207   @ Texas San Antonio W 83-80 24%     3 - 17 2 - 8 +3.6 +7.8 -4.2
  Feb 06, 2020 85   North Texas L 70-75 18%     3 - 18 2 - 9 -1.9 +0.8 -3.0
  Feb 08, 2020 203   Rice L 83-91 44%     3 - 19 2 - 10 -13.2 +7.1 -20.6
  Feb 12, 2020 176   @ UAB L 72-83 19%     3 - 20 2 - 11 -8.5 +0.8 -9.3
  Feb 15, 2020 176   UAB L 66-79 38%     3 - 21 2 - 12 -16.5 -8.3 -8.2
  Feb 22, 2020 267   @ Southern Miss W 61-53 36%     4 - 21 3 - 12 +5.0 -7.3 +12.8
  Mar 01, 2020 203   @ Rice L 66-77 23%     4 - 22 3 - 13 -10.1 -12.4 +2.7
  Mar 04, 2020 188   UTEP L 56-60 40%     4 - 23 3 - 14 -8.3 -9.2 +0.5
  Mar 07, 2020 267   Southern Miss W 65-62 OT 59%     5 - 23 4 - 14 -6.0 -18.3 +11.9
Projected Record 5 - 23 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 100.0 100.0 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10 100.0% 100.0
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%