Niagara
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#300
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#258
Pace64.9#282
Improvement+2.4#88

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#214
First Shot+2.5#93
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#351
Layup/Dunks+0.4#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#112
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#57
Freethrows-2.3#323
Improvement-0.4#196

Defense
Total Defense-6.5#325
First Shot-5.2#323
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#284
Layups/Dunks-2.8#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#331
Freethrows+0.8#127
Improvement+2.8#52
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 63 - 10
Quad 49 - 1012 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 243   @ Drexel L 64-72 27%     0 - 1 -9.6 -10.3 +0.7
  Nov 10, 2019 30   @ Rutgers L 39-86 3%     0 - 2 -31.5 -20.4 -15.5
  Nov 13, 2019 113   @ Stephen F. Austin L 80-89 9%     0 - 3 -2.0 +5.7 -6.9
  Nov 18, 2019 254   Bryant L 62-73 52%     0 - 4 -19.4 -16.6 -2.3
  Nov 27, 2019 265   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 54-77 32%     0 - 5 -25.9 -16.9 -9.6
  Dec 01, 2019 259   @ Norfolk St. W 65-61 31%     1 - 5 +1.2 -2.6 +4.1
  Dec 08, 2019 123   Colgate W 93-82 OT 23%     2 - 5 +11.1 +7.7 +2.1
  Dec 14, 2019 276   @ Albany L 80-84 33%     2 - 6 -7.4 +11.1 -18.7
  Dec 18, 2019 126   @ St. Bonaventure L 70-87 11%     2 - 7 -11.2 +0.7 -12.3
  Dec 21, 2019 141   @ Buffalo L 72-92 12%     2 - 8 -15.3 -0.3 -14.6
  Dec 28, 2019 46   @ Syracuse L 57-71 4%     2 - 9 -1.0 -9.3 +7.6
  Jan 03, 2020 302   Fairfield W 75-66 62%     3 - 9 1 - 0 -2.0 +9.5 -10.5
  Jan 05, 2020 268   Manhattan L 62-67 55%     3 - 10 1 - 1 -14.1 -4.1 -10.7
  Jan 10, 2020 256   @ Quinnipiac L 56-67 30%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -13.5 -18.7 +5.1
  Jan 12, 2020 223   @ Iona W 70-69 24%     4 - 11 2 - 2 +0.4 -3.1 +3.5
  Jan 17, 2020 190   Rider W 70-68 37%     5 - 11 3 - 2 -2.3 +5.2 -7.3
  Jan 19, 2020 160   Siena W 72-71 30%     6 - 11 4 - 2 -1.5 +9.6 -11.0
  Jan 24, 2020 204   @ Monmouth L 71-82 20%     6 - 12 4 - 3 -10.2 -4.0 -5.6
  Jan 26, 2020 195   @ St. Peter's L 53-58 19%     6 - 13 4 - 4 -3.8 -7.6 +3.1
  Jan 31, 2020 318   Marist L 48-67 67%     6 - 14 4 - 5 -31.3 -23.4 -9.5
  Feb 02, 2020 256   Quinnipiac W 75-59 53%     7 - 14 5 - 5 +7.5 +4.9 +4.3
  Feb 07, 2020 268   @ Manhattan L 59-77 32%     7 - 15 5 - 6 -21.1 -8.9 -13.0
  Feb 09, 2020 190   @ Rider L 58-73 18%     7 - 16 5 - 7 -13.3 -11.9 -1.8
  Feb 12, 2020 260   Canisius W 69-66 54%     8 - 16 6 - 7 -5.8 -3.5 -2.1
  Feb 16, 2020 204   Monmouth W 77-72 40%     9 - 16 7 - 7 -0.2 -2.2 +1.6
  Feb 21, 2020 302   @ Fairfield L 60-61 39%     9 - 17 7 - 8 -6.0 -0.2 -6.0
  Feb 23, 2020 318   @ Marist L 54-76 44%     9 - 18 7 - 9 -28.3 -6.1 -27.2
  Feb 27, 2020 195   St. Peter's W 63-54 38%     10 - 18 8 - 9 +4.2 -2.0 +7.0
  Feb 29, 2020 223   Iona W 100-91 OT 45%     11 - 18 9 - 9 +2.4 +12.3 -10.9
  Mar 04, 2020 160   @ Siena L 55-77 15%     11 - 19 9 - 10 -18.5 -16.2 -3.3
  Mar 06, 2020 260   @ Canisius L 63-67 31%     11 - 20 9 - 11 -6.8 -10.3 +3.5
  Mar 10, 2020 318   Marist W 56-54 56%     12 - 20 -7.3 -5.5 -1.4
Projected Record 12 - 20 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%