Portland St.
Big Sky
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#185
Expected Predictive Rating-1.0#187
Pace75.6#42
Improvement+3.4#52

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#74
First Shot+1.0#147
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#16
Layup/Dunks-1.5#236
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#267
Freethrows+0.4#148
Improvement+1.2#125

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#307
First Shot-1.0#208
After Offensive Rebounds-3.7#353
Layups/Dunks-3.7#317
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#28
Freethrows+0.3#161
Improvement+2.2#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 75 - 11
Quad 411 - 316 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 34   @ Indiana L 74-85 8%     0 - 1 +3.5 +11.2 -7.9
  Nov 15, 2019 214   @ Hawaii L 75-83 45%     0 - 2 -7.7 -1.5 -5.5
  Nov 20, 2019 297   Portland L 75-82 82%     0 - 3 -17.8 -6.5 -10.7
  Nov 23, 2019 299   @ San Jose St. W 91-76 65%     1 - 3 +10.2 +3.5 +4.7
  Nov 26, 2019 313   Grambling St. W 84-74 78%     2 - 3 +1.0 +7.7 -6.8
  Nov 27, 2019 174   @ UC Santa Barbara L 70-81 36%     2 - 4 -8.3 +2.0 -11.2
  Dec 01, 2019 82   @ Oregon St. L 76-81 16%     2 - 5 +4.4 +6.2 -1.9
  Dec 06, 2019 240   Cal St. Northridge W 73-67 73%     3 - 5 -1.3 -7.3 +6.1
  Dec 17, 2019 135   @ Pepperdine L 71-77 28%     3 - 6 -0.8 -2.5 +1.8
  Dec 19, 2019 197   @ Loyola Marymount W 76-66 42%     4 - 6 +11.1 +7.0 +4.5
  Dec 28, 2019 99   Northern Colorado W 69-65 38%     5 - 6 1 - 0 +6.1 -2.6 +8.8
  Dec 30, 2019 177   Southern Utah L 81-83 60%     5 - 7 1 - 1 -5.5 +5.6 -11.0
  Jan 02, 2020 324   @ Idaho L 61-72 73%     5 - 8 1 - 2 -18.4 -17.0 -0.9
  Jan 04, 2020 133   @ Eastern Washington L 69-71 27%     5 - 9 1 - 3 +3.4 -3.5 +6.9
  Jan 11, 2020 239   @ Montana St. W 77-76 51%     6 - 9 2 - 3 -0.2 +8.0 -8.2
  Jan 13, 2020 153   @ Montana L 70-85 32%     6 - 10 2 - 4 -11.1 +1.1 -12.5
  Jan 18, 2020 307   Idaho St. W 82-76 83%     7 - 10 3 - 4 -5.1 +4.3 -9.2
  Jan 20, 2020 275   Weber St. W 92-76 79%     8 - 10 4 - 4 +6.6 +5.8 -0.5
  Jan 23, 2020 199   @ Sacramento St. L 55-66 42%     8 - 11 4 - 5 -9.9 -9.1 -1.9
  Jan 25, 2020 229   @ Northern Arizona L 82-84 50%     8 - 12 4 - 6 -2.8 +4.3 -7.1
  Jan 30, 2020 153   Montana W 88-81 54%     9 - 12 5 - 6 +4.9 +9.8 -5.3
  Feb 08, 2020 177   @ Southern Utah L 57-85 37%     9 - 13 5 - 7 -25.5 -19.9 -1.9
  Feb 10, 2020 99   @ Northern Colorado W 83-71 19%     10 - 13 6 - 7 +20.1 +14.6 +5.9
  Feb 15, 2020 133   Eastern Washington L 81-89 49%     10 - 14 6 - 8 -8.7 +0.9 -8.9
  Feb 17, 2020 324   Idaho W 90-69 88%     11 - 14 7 - 8 +7.5 +12.1 -4.5
  Feb 20, 2020 239   Montana St. W 87-77 73%     12 - 14 8 - 8 +2.7 +9.0 -6.7
  Feb 27, 2020 307   @ Idaho St. W 89-76 66%     13 - 14 9 - 8 +7.9 -0.2 +6.5
  Feb 29, 2020 275   @ Weber St. W 89-83 59%     14 - 14 10 - 8 +2.7 +2.0 -0.2
  Mar 05, 2020 229   Northern Arizona W 80-66 72%     15 - 14 11 - 8 +7.1 +5.6 +2.1
  Mar 07, 2020 199   Sacramento St. W 76-72 65%     16 - 14 12 - 8 -1.0 +4.7 -5.6
Projected Record 16 - 14 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%