South Florida
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.9#115
Expected Predictive Rating+2.5#132
Pace62.6#328
Improvement+3.0#65

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#208
First Shot-2.4#256
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#71
Layup/Dunks+1.2#131
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#306
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#242
Freethrows+0.6#135
Improvement+2.0#88

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#56
First Shot+2.4#93
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#7
Layups/Dunks+0.6#148
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#237
Freethrows+1.4#83
Improvement+0.9#122
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 6
Quad 23 - 54 - 11
Quad 35 - 49 - 15
Quad 45 - 214 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 348   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 70-41 98%     1 - 0 +7.9 -7.2 +14.7
  Nov 10, 2019 159   Boston College L 60-74 73%     1 - 1 -16.4 -18.6 +3.7
  Nov 13, 2019 329   IUPUI L 53-70 95%     1 - 2 -31.4 -29.1 -2.8
  Nov 21, 2019 148   Wofford W 69-55 71%     2 - 2 +12.3 +4.0 +10.2
  Nov 25, 2019 106   Loyola Chicago W 66-55 48%     3 - 2 +15.5 +1.2 +14.9
  Nov 26, 2019 98   New Mexico St. L 45-65 45%     3 - 3 -14.8 -18.1 -0.3
  Nov 27, 2019 156   Nebraska L 67-74 63%     3 - 4 -6.4 +1.0 -8.0
  Dec 02, 2019 83   Furman W 65-55 52%     4 - 4 +13.3 -2.3 +16.2
  Dec 06, 2019 205   Dartmouth W 63-44 81%     5 - 4 +13.8 -3.4 +19.1
  Dec 15, 2019 243   Drexel W 81-61 86%     6 - 4 +12.3 +9.0 +4.7
  Dec 18, 2019 42   Utah St. L 74-76 OT 27%     6 - 5 +8.3 +6.1 +2.2
  Dec 21, 2019 12   Florida St. L 60-66 16%     6 - 6 +8.5 -5.4 +14.0
  Dec 29, 2019 183   Florida Atlantic W 60-58 77%     7 - 6 -1.8 -3.7 +2.2
  Jan 01, 2020 86   @ SMU L 64-82 31%     7 - 7 0 - 1 -8.8 -8.5 -0.2
  Jan 04, 2020 55   Connecticut W 75-60 43%     8 - 7 1 - 1 +20.9 +4.4 +16.3
  Jan 07, 2020 202   @ East Carolina L 59-62 61%     8 - 8 1 - 2 -2.1 -11.2 +9.1
  Jan 12, 2020 57   Memphis L 64-68 43%     8 - 9 1 - 3 +1.6 -0.9 +2.5
  Jan 18, 2020 117   @ Central Florida L 54-55 39%     8 - 10 1 - 4 +5.8 -7.4 +13.1
  Jan 21, 2020 39   Wichita St. L 43-56 36%     8 - 11 1 - 5 -5.4 -15.3 +7.5
  Jan 26, 2020 19   @ Houston L 49-68 12%     8 - 12 1 - 6 -2.3 -9.0 +4.2
  Jan 29, 2020 179   @ Tulane W 66-52 56%     9 - 12 2 - 6 +16.4 +1.7 +16.3
  Feb 01, 2020 117   Central Florida W 64-48 62%     10 - 12 3 - 6 +16.8 +0.3 +18.4
  Feb 08, 2020 57   @ Memphis W 75-73 23%     11 - 12 4 - 6 +13.6 +15.0 -1.3
  Feb 12, 2020 19   Houston L 58-62 26%     11 - 13 4 - 7 +6.7 +1.5 +4.4
  Feb 15, 2020 75   Tulsa L 48-56 50%     11 - 14 4 - 8 -4.1 -14.0 +8.8
  Feb 20, 2020 39   @ Wichita St. L 55-65 18%     11 - 15 4 - 9 +3.6 -8.4 +12.1
  Feb 23, 2020 55   @ Connecticut L 71-78 22%     11 - 16 4 - 10 +4.9 +10.4 -6.2
  Feb 26, 2020 202   East Carolina W 73-68 OT 80%     12 - 16 5 - 10 -0.1 -4.0 +3.7
  Mar 01, 2020 107   @ Temple W 64-58 37%     13 - 16 6 - 10 +13.5 +5.0 +9.1
  Mar 03, 2020 44   Cincinnati L 67-79 38%     13 - 17 6 - 11 -4.9 +0.2 -5.5
  Mar 07, 2020 86   SMU W 61-60 53%     14 - 17 7 - 11 +4.1 -11.0 +15.2
Projected Record 14 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%