Southeast Missouri St.
Ohio Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.4#340
Expected Predictive Rating-14.5#342
Pace67.6#220
Improvement-2.7#280

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#313
First Shot-5.8#328
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#145
Layup/Dunks-4.7#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#82
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#272
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement-0.5#204

Defense
Total Defense-7.0#331
First Shot-6.4#339
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#231
Layups/Dunks-3.6#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#266
Freethrows-1.0#250
Improvement-2.1#281
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 90 - 11
Quad 45 - 135 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 151   @ Vanderbilt L 65-83 7%     0 - 1 -13.8 -6.5 -7.5
  Nov 10, 2019 265   Purdue Fort Wayne W 79-78 37%     1 - 1 -8.0 +0.1 -8.1
  Nov 19, 2019 335   The Citadel L 69-74 60%     1 - 2 -20.1 -18.4 -1.3
  Nov 27, 2019 269   Cal St. Fullerton L 57-64 27%     1 - 3 -13.1 -16.8 +3.6
  Nov 29, 2019 162   @ Santa Clara L 75-87 8%     1 - 4 -8.5 -2.8 -4.7
  Nov 30, 2019 311   Denver W 66-51 35%     2 - 4 +6.5 -7.3 +14.4
  Dec 05, 2019 192   @ Abilene Christian L 64-73 10%     2 - 5 -7.6 -8.5 +1.2
  Dec 07, 2019 166   @ Drake L 73-78 8%     2 - 6 -1.6 +0.0 -1.4
  Dec 15, 2019 225   @ Youngstown St. L 50-65 14%     2 - 7 -15.7 -23.4 +7.0
  Dec 17, 2019 9   @ Ohio St. L 48-80 1%     2 - 8 -13.7 -16.8 +3.4
  Dec 21, 2019 173   @ Southern Illinois L 45-64 9%     2 - 9 -16.3 -16.3 -3.1
  Jan 02, 2020 172   @ Austin Peay L 63-78 8%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -12.1 -3.1 -10.9
  Jan 04, 2020 130   @ Murray St. L 59-81 6%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -16.5 +0.0 -20.2
  Jan 09, 2020 108   Belmont L 64-89 10%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -23.6 -6.0 -18.6
  Jan 11, 2020 262   Tennessee St. L 73-75 37%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -10.9 -2.6 -8.3
  Jan 16, 2020 172   Austin Peay L 59-84 19%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -28.1 -12.9 -17.5
  Jan 18, 2020 130   Murray St. L 91-96 OT 14%     2 - 15 0 - 6 -5.6 +10.4 -15.5
  Jan 23, 2020 330   @ SIU Edwardsville L 65-84 35%     2 - 16 0 - 7 -27.5 -10.6 -17.1
  Jan 25, 2020 238   @ Eastern Illinois L 59-61 15%     2 - 17 0 - 8 -3.2 -12.6 +9.4
  Jan 30, 2020 316   @ Morehead St. L 74-90 27%     2 - 18 0 - 9 -22.2 +3.5 -26.7
  Feb 01, 2020 273   @ Eastern Kentucky L 57-70 19%     2 - 19 0 - 10 -16.2 -18.2 +2.4
  Feb 06, 2020 277   Jacksonville St. W 76-72 39%     3 - 19 1 - 10 -5.5 -4.9 -0.9
  Feb 08, 2020 325   Tennessee Tech L 60-62 56%     3 - 20 1 - 11 -15.9 -15.0 -1.0
  Feb 13, 2020 333   Tennessee Martin W 74-72 59%     4 - 20 2 - 11 -12.8 -12.8 +0.1
  Feb 15, 2020 330   SIU Edwardsville W 75-71 58%     5 - 20 3 - 11 -10.5 -1.7 -8.6
  Feb 20, 2020 277   @ Jacksonville St. L 58-65 20%     5 - 21 3 - 12 -10.5 -10.2 -0.9
  Feb 22, 2020 325   @ Tennessee Tech L 62-71 33%     5 - 22 3 - 13 -16.9 -7.6 -10.1
  Feb 27, 2020 238   Eastern Illinois L 70-72 31%     5 - 23 3 - 14 -9.3 -7.0 -2.2
  Feb 29, 2020 333   @ Tennessee Martin L 78-87 36%     5 - 24 3 - 15 -17.8 -7.3 -10.4
Projected Record 5 - 24 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%