Toledo
Mid-American
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#154
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#176
Pace68.6#186
Improvement-3.6#310

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#104
First Shot+3.9#59
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#268
Layup/Dunks-2.3#265
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#194
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#38
Freethrows+2.1#34
Improvement-1.7#271

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#228
First Shot-0.6#195
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#278
Layups/Dunks-0.1#184
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#259
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#199
Freethrows+1.1#101
Improvement-1.9#268
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 20 - 31 - 4
Quad 35 - 76 - 11
Quad 410 - 416 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 146   @ Valparaiso L 77-79 37%     0 - 1 +2.4 +2.1 +0.4
  Nov 10, 2019 142   @ Marshall W 96-70 36%     1 - 1 +30.6 +14.5 +12.7
  Nov 16, 2019 208   Robert Morris W 70-56 73%     2 - 1 +8.5 +0.1 +9.4
  Nov 17, 2019 349   Howard W 112-68 97%     3 - 1 +22.7 +21.1 -0.2
  Nov 21, 2019 51   @ Notre Dame L 62-64 OT 14%     3 - 2 +10.3 -16.0 +26.6
  Nov 30, 2019 235   Oakland W 65-63 78%     4 - 2 -5.2 -2.7 -2.3
  Dec 04, 2019 310   @ Cleveland St. W 80-65 73%     5 - 2 +9.6 +5.3 +4.0
  Dec 08, 2019 142   Marshall W 82-72 59%     6 - 2 +8.6 +5.0 +3.0
  Dec 14, 2019 304   @ Detroit Mercy W 80-72 72%     7 - 2 +3.0 +4.9 -1.7
  Dec 17, 2019 231   @ UMKC L 57-72 57%     7 - 3 -15.9 -12.6 -3.9
  Dec 21, 2019 127   Wright St. L 72-79 54%     7 - 4 -7.2 -4.9 -2.0
  Dec 28, 2019 109   @ Bradley L 66-78 27%     7 - 5 -4.7 -4.6 +0.0
  Jan 03, 2020 120   @ Ball St. L 57-61 30%     7 - 6 0 - 1 +2.4 -6.7 +9.0
  Jan 07, 2020 124   @ Kent St. L 77-84 32%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -1.1 +8.2 -9.6
  Jan 11, 2020 234   Western Michigan W 67-59 78%     8 - 7 1 - 2 +1.0 -4.7 +6.2
  Jan 14, 2020 215   Central Michigan L 67-74 74%     8 - 8 1 - 3 -12.9 -6.7 -6.5
  Jan 18, 2020 90   @ Akron W 99-89 22%     9 - 8 2 - 3 +18.9 +28.0 -9.3
  Jan 21, 2020 158   @ Ohio W 83-74 40%     10 - 8 3 - 3 +12.6 +9.6 +2.8
  Jan 25, 2020 167   Bowling Green L 79-85 64%     10 - 9 3 - 4 -8.7 +4.0 -12.7
  Jan 28, 2020 124   Kent St. L 70-83 54%     10 - 10 3 - 5 -13.2 -1.1 -12.6
  Feb 01, 2020 200   @ Eastern Michigan L 57-61 50%     10 - 11 3 - 6 -3.0 -2.1 -1.5
  Feb 04, 2020 175   Northern Illinois L 61-66 66%     10 - 12 3 - 7 -8.4 -2.8 -6.4
  Feb 08, 2020 167   @ Bowling Green L 83-85 41%     10 - 13 3 - 8 +1.3 +10.5 -9.1
  Feb 11, 2020 213   Miami (OH) W 65-57 74%     11 - 13 4 - 8 +2.3 -5.1 +8.2
  Feb 14, 2020 141   Buffalo L 67-83 59%     11 - 14 4 - 9 -17.3 -13.1 -2.8
  Feb 22, 2020 234   @ Western Michigan W 68-59 57%     12 - 14 5 - 9 +8.0 -0.6 +9.2
  Feb 25, 2020 215   @ Central Michigan W 93-81 53%     13 - 14 6 - 9 +12.2 +12.3 -1.0
  Feb 29, 2020 120   Ball St. W 69-63 52%     14 - 14 7 - 9 +6.4 -1.4 +7.6
  Mar 03, 2020 175   @ Northern Illinois L 50-71 43%     14 - 15 7 - 10 -18.4 -14.8 -5.8
  Mar 06, 2020 200   Eastern Michigan W 79-57 72%     15 - 15 8 - 10 +17.0 +11.2 +6.7
  Mar 09, 2020 234   Western Michigan W 76-73 78%     16 - 15 -4.0 -0.9 -3.2
Projected Record 16 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%