Pre-tourney Rankings
Atlantic Sun
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
113 Liberty 100.0%   14   19 - 5 11 - 2 19 - 5 11 - 2 +3.9      +3.9 86 +0.1 166 59.7 340 +5.1 107 +3.5 1
185 Bellarmine 0.0%   11 - 7 10 - 3 11 - 7 10 - 3 -1.6      +2.2 114 -3.8 279 62.9 312 -2.6 203 -0.3 3
233 Lipscomb 0.0%   11 - 11 9 - 5 11 - 11 9 - 5 -4.7      -1.1 203 -3.7 274 65.4 264 -4.3 223 -2.0 4
245 Stetson 0.0%   9 - 13 7 - 9 9 - 13 7 - 9 -5.3      -0.5 188 -4.8 296 68.9 182 -6.0 248 -7.5 7
277 North Alabama 0.0%   8 - 11 6 - 8 8 - 11 6 - 8 -7.7      -4.6 279 -3.0 257 73.1 88 -7.2 270 -7.4 6
279 Florida Gulf Coast 0.0%   8 - 8 4 - 5 8 - 8 4 - 5 -7.7      -7.5 320 -0.3 184 75.4 52 -6.2 254 -8.0 8
284 NJIT 0.0%   7 - 12 0 - 0 7 - 12 0 - 0 -8.0      -5.0 288 -3.0 256 68.4 191 -7.3 273 0.0 2
285 North Florida 0.0%   7 - 14 6 - 6 7 - 14 6 - 6 -8.2      -0.5 186 -7.7 337 67.4 219 -7.7 279 -4.8 5
288 Jacksonville 0.0%   9 - 13 5 - 9 9 - 13 5 - 9 -8.3      -6.1 302 -2.2 229 68.4 192 -7.4 274 -8.3 9
326 Kennesaw St. 0.0%   2 - 19 2 - 13 2 - 19 2 - 13 -12.2      -9.5 339 -2.6 245 70.8 131 -17.7 338 -16.9 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Liberty 1.0 100.0
Bellarmine 2.0 100.0
Lipscomb 3.0 100.0
Stetson 4.0 100.0
North Alabama 5.0 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 8.0 100.0
NJIT 10.0 100.0
North Florida 5.0 100.0
Jacksonville 7.0 100.0
Kennesaw St. 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Liberty 11 - 5 100.0
Bellarmine 10 - 6 100.0
Lipscomb 9 - 7 100.0
Stetson 7 - 9 100.0
North Alabama 6 - 10 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 4 - 12 100.0
NJIT 0 - 16 100.0
North Florida 6 - 10 100.0
Jacksonville 5 - 11 100.0
Kennesaw St. 2 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Liberty 100.0% 100.0
Bellarmine
Lipscomb
Stetson
North Alabama
Florida Gulf Coast
NJIT
North Florida
Jacksonville
Kennesaw St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Liberty 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   1.4 59.5 39.0 0.1
Bellarmine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
NJIT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Liberty 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 11.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bellarmine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lipscomb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 11.4% 0.1 88.6 11.4
Sweet Sixteen 2.1% 0.0 97.9 2.1
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0