Pre-tourney Rankings
Liberty
Atlantic Sun
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.9#113
Expected Predictive Rating+5.1#107
Pace59.7#340
Improvement-2.2#274

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#86
First Shot+5.2#51
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#264
Layup/Dunks-0.1#166
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#302
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.8#6
Freethrows-1.0#249
Improvement-0.6#207

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#166
First Shot-2.7#262
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#10
Layups/Dunks-1.7#240
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#214
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#176
Freethrows-0.6#223
Improvement-1.5#260
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round11.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 01 - 2
Quad 32 - 13 - 3
Quad 416 - 219 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 14   Purdue L 64-77 15%     0 - 1 +1.9 +0.9 +0.5
  Nov 26, 2020 71   Mississippi St. W 84-73 34%     1 - 1 +19.1 +28.0 -7.3
  Nov 28, 2020 122   South Carolina W 78-62 53%     2 - 1 +19.2 +13.5 +7.0
  Nov 29, 2020 129   TCU L 52-56 55%     2 - 2 -1.4 -15.3 +13.5
  Dec 03, 2020 287   St. Francis (PA) W 78-62 90%     3 - 2 +5.8 +4.1 +2.4
  Dec 09, 2020 52   @ Missouri L 60-69 22%     3 - 3 +3.0 +0.5 +1.5
  Dec 15, 2020 343   South Carolina St. W 82-52 98%     4 - 3 +10.2 +3.3 +7.8
  Dec 22, 2020 339   Alcorn St. W 108-65 96%     5 - 3 +26.0 +25.5 -0.4
  Jan 01, 2021 233   @ Lipscomb L 70-77 74%     5 - 4 0 - 1 -9.9 -5.3 -4.6
  Jan 02, 2021 233   @ Lipscomb W 66-50 74%     6 - 4 1 - 1 +13.1 -2.8 +17.5
  Jan 08, 2021 326   Kennesaw St. W 69-63 94%     7 - 4 2 - 1 -8.1 -2.9 -4.7
  Jan 09, 2021 326   Kennesaw St. W 76-47 94%     8 - 4 3 - 1 +14.9 +15.1 +5.7
  Jan 15, 2021 245   @ Stetson L 59-65 76%     8 - 5 3 - 2 -9.4 -16.3 +6.7
  Jan 16, 2021 245   @ Stetson W 68-58 76%     9 - 5 4 - 2 +6.6 +1.6 +6.5
  Jan 29, 2021 288   @ Jacksonville W 59-54 83%     10 - 5 5 - 2 -1.4 -7.0 +6.3
  Jan 30, 2021 288   @ Jacksonville W 64-58 83%     11 - 5 6 - 2 -0.4 -3.0 +3.3
  Feb 12, 2021 285   North Florida W 73-61 90%     12 - 5 7 - 2 +1.9 +1.4 +2.1
  Feb 13, 2021 285   North Florida W 80-60 90%     13 - 5 8 - 2 +9.9 +13.2 +0.4
  Feb 22, 2021 277   North Alabama W 74-54 89%     14 - 5 9 - 2 +10.4 +5.1 +7.4
  Feb 23, 2021 277   North Alabama W 74-54 89%     15 - 5 10 - 2 +10.4 +9.7 +4.1
  Feb 27, 2021 185   @ Bellarmine W 94-78 64%     16 - 5 11 - 2 +16.3 +20.7 -4.0
  Mar 04, 2021 326   Kennesaw St. W 69-59 93%     17 - 5 -2.2 -4.5 +2.6
  Mar 05, 2021 245   Stetson W 77-64 81%     18 - 5 +7.7 +9.0 +0.3
  Mar 07, 2021 277   North Alabama W 79-75 86%     19 - 5 -3.7 +8.4 -11.8
Projected Record 19 - 5 11 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-13 1-12 2-11 3-10 4-9 5-8 6-7 7-6 8-5 9-4 10-3 11-2 12-1 13-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
13-0
12-1
11-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
10-3
9-4
8-5
7-6
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
13-0
12-1
11-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.4 1.4 59.5 39.0 0.1
10-3
9-4
8-5
7-6
6-7
5-8
4-9
3-10
2-11
1-12
0-13
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.4 1.4 59.5 39.0 0.1