Pre-tourney Rankings
Horizon
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
76 Wright St. 0.0%   18 - 6 14 - 4 18 - 6 14 - 4 +7.8      +4.5 76 +3.3 81 75.5 51 +2.6 132 +3.2 2
175 Detroit Mercy 0.0%   12 - 10 6 - 6 12 - 10 6 - 6 -0.4      +4.7 65 -5.1 302 67.6 214 -1.7 190 -2.0 3
176 Cleveland St. 100.0%   14   19 - 7 13 - 3 19 - 7 13 - 3 -0.5      -1.3 207 +0.8 153 65.2 269 +4.4 111 +5.8 1
200 Northern Kentucky 0.0%   14 - 11 7 - 7 14 - 11 7 - 7 -2.8      +0.9 147 -3.7 277 63.2 307 -2.0 193 -3.7 6
219 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0%   10 - 12 7 - 7 10 - 12 7 - 7 -4.1      -0.5 187 -3.6 272 71.7 113 -4.5 224 -2.9 4
223 Oakland 0.0%   12 - 18 7 - 9 12 - 18 7 - 9 -4.2      +0.5 159 -4.8 294 72.7 94 -3.0 208 -3.6 5
236 Youngstown St. 0.0%   11 - 12 5 - 11 11 - 12 5 - 11 -5.0      -0.2 179 -4.8 295 67.2 223 -5.1 231 -8.4 10
251 Green Bay 0.0%   8 - 17 6 - 12 8 - 17 6 - 12 -5.8      +0.3 167 -6.1 311 65.8 257 -8.1 286 -7.3 9
266 IUPUI 0.0%   8 - 10 7 - 9 8 - 10 7 - 9 -7.0      -4.4 273 -2.7 246 76.2 38 -4.6 225 -4.3 7
290 Illinois-Chicago 0.0%   9 - 13 4 - 8 9 - 13 4 - 8 -8.4      -6.7 308 -1.7 217 70.1 149 -6.2 253 -7.1 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Wright St. 1.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 7.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 2.0 100.0
Northern Kentucky 3.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 3.0 100.0
Oakland 3.0 100.0
Youngstown St. 9.0 100.0
Green Bay 7.0 100.0
IUPUI 3.0 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Wright St. 14 - 4 100.0
Detroit Mercy 6 - 12 100.0
Cleveland St. 13 - 5 100.0
Northern Kentucky 7 - 11 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7 - 11 100.0
Oakland 7 - 11 100.0
Youngstown St. 5 - 13 100.0
Green Bay 6 - 12 100.0
IUPUI 7 - 11 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wright St. 100.0% 100.0
Detroit Mercy
Cleveland St.
Northern Kentucky
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Oakland
Youngstown St.
Green Bay
IUPUI
Illinois-Chicago


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cleveland St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 3.8 79.4 16.7
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 5.5% 0.1 94.5 5.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0