Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#200
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#193
Pace63.2#307
Improvement+2.2#75

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#147
First Shot-1.6#223
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#33
Layup/Dunks-3.5#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#179
Freethrows-0.7#229
Improvement+1.7#78

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#277
First Shot-0.5#182
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#342
Layups/Dunks-0.3#185
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#158
Freethrows+0.6#132
Improvement+0.5#150
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 32 - 33 - 6
Quad 411 - 514 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 154   Ball St. W 74-73 44%     1 - 0 -0.2 +4.3 -4.5
  Dec 03, 2020 307   Tennessee Tech W 74-65 79%     2 - 0 -2.3 -2.2 +0.3
  Dec 05, 2020 164   @ Chattanooga L 72-79 32%     2 - 1 -4.9 -2.8 -1.8
  Dec 08, 2020 81   @ Dayton L 60-66 13%     2 - 2 +3.3 -6.6 +9.6
  Dec 13, 2020 116   @ Kent St. L 73-92 22%     2 - 3 -13.7 -2.9 -9.4
  Dec 19, 2020 236   Youngstown St. W 79-64 65%     3 - 3 1 - 0 +8.1 +9.9 +0.0
  Dec 20, 2020 236   Youngstown St. L 60-70 65%     3 - 4 1 - 1 -16.9 -12.3 -5.7
  Jan 01, 2021 268   Purdue Fort Wayne W 75-68 73%     4 - 4 -2.1 -5.5 +3.4
  Jan 02, 2021 268   Purdue Fort Wayne W 70-68 73%     5 - 4 -7.1 -10.3 +3.2
  Jan 08, 2021 176   @ Cleveland St. L 44-58 34%     5 - 5 1 - 2 -12.6 -20.1 +5.3
  Jan 09, 2021 176   @ Cleveland St. L 71-74 OT 34%     5 - 6 1 - 3 -1.6 -1.7 +0.1
  Jan 15, 2021 266   IUPUI L 69-74 72%     5 - 7 1 - 4 -13.9 -0.4 -14.1
  Jan 16, 2021 266   IUPUI L 63-65 72%     5 - 8 1 - 5 -10.9 -11.5 +0.5
  Jan 22, 2021 296   @ Robert Morris W 81-76 65%     6 - 8 -1.8 +7.1 -8.6
  Jan 23, 2021 296   @ Robert Morris W 79-74 OT 65%     7 - 8 -1.8 +2.5 -4.1
  Jan 29, 2021 290   Illinois-Chicago W 72-68 76%     8 - 8 2 - 5 -6.3 -1.9 -4.3
  Jan 30, 2021 290   Illinois-Chicago W 69-67 76%     9 - 8 3 - 5 -8.3 +3.7 -11.7
  Feb 05, 2021 219   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 87-73 47%     10 - 8 4 - 5 +11.8 +12.7 -0.7
  Feb 06, 2021 219   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79-65 47%     11 - 8 5 - 5 +11.8 +1.9 +9.6
  Feb 12, 2021 251   @ Green Bay L 82-86 OT 54%     11 - 9 5 - 6 -7.9 +4.2 -12.2
  Feb 13, 2021 251   @ Green Bay W 71-66 54%     12 - 9 6 - 6 +1.1 +3.3 -1.5
  Feb 19, 2021 76   Wright St. W 81-75 20%     13 - 9 7 - 6 +11.9 +7.4 +4.3
  Feb 20, 2021 76   Wright St. L 71-77 20%     13 - 10 7 - 7 -0.1 +2.5 -2.8
  Mar 02, 2021 175   Detroit Mercy W 70-69 48%     14 - 10 -1.3 +2.1 -3.2
  Mar 08, 2021 223   Oakland L 58-69 56%     14 - 11 -15.2 -12.4 -4.2
Projected Record 14 - 11 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 100.0% 100.0
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%