Pre-tourney Rankings
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
157 Iona 100.0%   15   12 - 5 6 - 3 12 - 5 6 - 3 +0.5      -1.0 200 +1.5 126 69.5 165 -0.1 165 -2.9 4
184 Siena 0.0%   12 - 5 12 - 4 12 - 5 12 - 4 -1.3      -1.3 209 0.0 168 64.5 286 -0.6 172 +0.2 1
212 Monmouth 0.0%   12 - 8 12 - 6 12 - 8 12 - 6 -3.5      -2.2 234 -1.3 206 82.0 5 -2.4 197 -0.5 2
213 St. Peter's 0.0%   14 - 11 10 - 8 14 - 11 10 - 8 -3.5      -8.2 328 +4.7 60 67.4 218 -3.6 217 -4.8 6
228 Canisius 0.0%   7 - 6 7 - 5 7 - 6 7 - 5 -4.4      -1.6 217 -2.8 253 73.8 76 -3.3 213 -1.8 3
234 Niagara 0.0%   9 - 11 7 - 9 9 - 11 7 - 9 -4.8      -1.3 212 -3.5 268 62.8 314 -5.7 241 -7.1 7
254 Marist 0.0%   12 - 9 10 - 8 12 - 9 10 - 8 -5.9      -7.1 315 +1.2 137 65.1 273 -3.9 222 -3.9 5
265 Quinnipiac 0.0%   9 - 13 7 - 10 9 - 13 7 - 10 -7.0      -7.6 322 +0.6 154 76.3 37 -7.9 282 -8.4 9
272 Fairfield 0.0%   10 - 17 7 - 11 10 - 17 7 - 11 -7.5      -4.7 280 -2.7 249 62.2 324 -7.5 276 -7.7 8
291 Manhattan 0.0%   7 - 13 6 - 12 7 - 13 6 - 12 -8.5      -8.1 327 -0.4 187 66.1 251 -9.7 308 -9.5 11
300 Rider 0.0%   6 - 17 5 - 13 6 - 17 5 - 13 -9.0      -1.8 226 -7.1 329 68.3 194 -9.6 304 -9.4 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Iona 9.0 100.0
Siena 1.0 100.0
Monmouth 1.0 100.0
St. Peter's 3.0 100.0
Canisius 5.0 100.0
Niagara 5.0 100.0
Marist 3.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 5.0 100.0
Fairfield 5.0 100.0
Manhattan 9.0 100.0
Rider 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Iona 6 - 14 100.0
Siena 12 - 8 100.0
Monmouth 12 - 8 100.0
St. Peter's 10 - 10 100.0
Canisius 7 - 13 100.0
Niagara 7 - 13 100.0
Marist 10 - 10 100.0
Quinnipiac 7 - 13 100.0
Fairfield 7 - 13 100.0
Manhattan 6 - 14 100.0
Rider 5 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Iona
Siena 100.0% 100.0
Monmouth 100.0% 100.0
St. Peter's
Canisius
Niagara
Marist
Quinnipiac
Fairfield
Manhattan
Rider


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Iona 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 4.5 73.3 22.2
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Iona 100.0% 3.1% 98.8% 3.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 98.8% 1.0 1.2 98.8
2nd Round 3.8% 0.0 96.2 3.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0