Pre-tourney Rankings
Fairfield
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#272
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#276
Pace62.2#324
Improvement+7.0#4

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#280
First Shot-5.0#296
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#144
Layup/Dunks-1.8#244
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#193
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#270
Freethrows+0.0#175
Improvement+4.9#7

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#249
First Shot-2.5#255
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#195
Layups/Dunks-4.5#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#151
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#133
Freethrows+0.7#125
Improvement+2.2#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 35 - 115 - 12
Quad 45 - 510 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 64   @ Providence L 56-97 6%     0 - 1 -30.3 -12.6 -16.5
  Dec 02, 2020 189   Hartford L 61-66 37%     0 - 2 -8.9 -13.1 +4.3
  Dec 04, 2020 224   @ Stony Brook L 69-72 OT 31%     0 - 3 -5.4 -11.9 +7.0
  Dec 07, 2020 189   @ Hartford L 54-67 24%     0 - 4 -13.1 -12.4 -1.7
  Dec 11, 2020 157   Iona L 42-70 28%     0 - 5 0 - 1 -29.4 -28.3 -2.3
  Dec 12, 2020 157   Iona W 67-52 28%     1 - 5 1 - 1 +13.6 -2.5 +16.7
  Dec 18, 2020 234   @ Niagara L 51-68 33%     1 - 6 1 - 2 -19.9 -20.1 -1.3
  Dec 19, 2020 234   @ Niagara L 61-81 33%     1 - 7 1 - 3 -22.9 -2.9 -23.8
  Dec 22, 2020 271   Fairleigh Dickinson L 65-69 57%     1 - 8 -13.3 -13.9 +0.6
  Jan 01, 2021 300   Rider L 62-70 63%     1 - 9 1 - 4 -18.9 -15.8 -3.4
  Jan 02, 2021 300   Rider W 72-56 63%     2 - 9 2 - 4 +5.1 -0.3 +7.3
  Jan 09, 2021 184   Siena L 58-74 34%     2 - 10 2 - 5 -19.1 -8.7 -12.4
  Jan 10, 2021 184   Siena L 68-75 34%     2 - 11 2 - 6 -10.1 +3.6 -14.7
  Jan 15, 2021 254   @ Marist L 63-73 37%     2 - 12 2 - 7 -14.0 +5.2 -21.2
  Jan 16, 2021 254   @ Marist W 55-52 37%     3 - 12 3 - 7 -1.0 -8.6 +8.0
  Feb 07, 2021 265   Quinnipiac L 63-78 56%     3 - 13 3 - 8 -23.9 -6.1 -18.8
  Feb 08, 2021 265   Quinnipiac W 77-70 56%     4 - 13 4 - 8 -1.9 +5.1 -6.9
  Feb 13, 2021 213   @ St. Peter's W 55-50 29%     5 - 13 5 - 8 +3.4 -8.2 +12.0
  Feb 14, 2021 213   @ St. Peter's L 49-66 29%     5 - 14 5 - 9 -18.6 -9.4 -12.3
  Feb 19, 2021 228   Canisius L 69-80 46%     5 - 15 5 - 10 -17.3 -8.9 -8.2
  Feb 20, 2021 228   Canisius W 66-53 46%     6 - 15 6 - 10 +6.7 -8.4 +15.6
  Mar 04, 2021 291   @ Manhattan L 59-69 47%     6 - 16 6 - 11 -16.6 -13.1 -3.6
  Mar 05, 2021 291   @ Manhattan W 85-67 47%     7 - 16 7 - 11 +11.4 +19.4 -6.6
  Mar 09, 2021 291   Manhattan W 59-58 OT 54%     8 - 16 -7.5 -12.1 +4.7
  Mar 10, 2021 212   Monmouth W 79-60 35%     9 - 16 +15.5 +5.0 +10.5
  Mar 12, 2021 213   St. Peter's W 52-47 35%     10 - 16 +1.5 -1.3 +4.3
  Mar 13, 2021 157   Iona L 51-60 22%     10 - 17 -8.5 -14.5 +5.0
Projected Record 10 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%