Pre-tourney Rankings
Providence
Big East
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#64
Expected Predictive Rating+9.2#61
Pace65.8#256
Improvement-0.4#199

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#84
First Shot+2.9#97
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#105
Layup/Dunks+1.8#98
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#230
Freethrows+1.5#76
Improvement-4.9#342

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#55
First Shot+6.4#24
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#293
Layups/Dunks-1.2#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#61
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#9
Freethrows+1.0#104
Improvement+4.5#6
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b3 - 44 - 7
Quad 22 - 56 - 12
Quad 35 - 111 - 13
Quad 42 - 013 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 272   Fairfield W 97-56 94%     1 - 0 +31.7 +17.7 +12.8
  Nov 30, 2020 44   Indiana L 58-79 43%     1 - 1 -10.3 -6.0 -5.4
  Dec 01, 2020 56   Davidson W 63-62 47%     2 - 1 +10.6 +2.3 +8.5
  Dec 02, 2020 7   Alabama L 71-88 20%     2 - 2 +0.8 +10.8 -10.4
  Dec 05, 2020 271   Fairleigh Dickinson W 79-67 94%     3 - 2 +2.7 -5.1 +7.4
  Dec 09, 2020 129   @ TCU W 79-70 66%     4 - 2 +13.5 +14.2 +0.0
  Dec 20, 2020 50   @ Seton Hall W 80-77 OT 36%     5 - 2 1 - 0 +15.4 +9.6 +5.7
  Dec 23, 2020 95   @ Butler L 64-70 56%     5 - 3 1 - 1 +1.3 -2.8 +4.0
  Dec 27, 2020 120   DePaul W 95-90 2OT 76%     6 - 3 2 - 1 +6.3 +5.5 -0.3
  Dec 30, 2020 95   Butler W 71-55 70%     7 - 3 3 - 1 +19.5 +11.4 +10.4
  Jan 02, 2021 11   Creighton L 65-67 33%     7 - 4 3 - 2 +11.3 +0.1 +11.2
  Jan 10, 2021 59   @ Xavier L 73-74 41%     7 - 5 3 - 3 +10.3 +6.6 +3.6
  Jan 12, 2021 69   @ Marquette L 69-79 45%     7 - 6 3 - 4 +0.2 +6.5 -7.1
  Jan 20, 2021 11   @ Creighton W 74-70 21%     8 - 6 4 - 4 +21.1 +8.6 +12.5
  Jan 23, 2021 9   @ Villanova L 56-71 20%     8 - 7 4 - 5 +2.7 -10.4 +12.9
  Jan 27, 2021 69   Marquette W 72-63 OT 59%     9 - 7 5 - 5 +15.4 +0.9 +14.2
  Jan 30, 2021 47   @ Georgetown L 72-73 36%     9 - 8 5 - 6 +11.6 +11.6 -0.1
  Feb 03, 2021 50   Seton Hall L 43-60 51%     9 - 9 5 - 7 -8.4 -18.2 +6.8
  Feb 06, 2021 58   St. John's L 81-92 55%     9 - 10 5 - 8 -3.4 +8.0 -11.2
  Feb 10, 2021 10   Connecticut W 70-59 32%     10 - 10 6 - 8 +24.6 +8.3 +17.0
  Feb 13, 2021 120   @ DePaul W 57-47 64%     11 - 10 7 - 8 +15.1 -6.9 +22.4
  Feb 16, 2021 10   @ Connecticut L 61-73 21%     11 - 11 7 - 9 +5.4 +0.1 +4.5
  Feb 24, 2021 59   Xavier W 83-68 55%     12 - 11 8 - 9 +22.5 +13.3 +9.2
  Mar 03, 2021 58   @ St. John's L 67-81 40%     12 - 12 8 - 10 -2.6 -3.4 +1.1
  Mar 06, 2021 9   Villanova W 54-52 31%     13 - 12 9 - 10 +15.9 -8.7 +24.8
  Mar 10, 2021 120   DePaul L 62-70 71%     13 - 13 -4.8 -6.6 +2.0
Projected Record 13 - 13 9 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big East Finish

0-19 1-18 2-17 3-16 4-15 5-14 6-13 7-12 8-11 9-10 10-9 11-8 12-7 13-6 14-5 15-4 16-3 17-2 18-1 19-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4
14-5
13-6
12-7
11-8
10-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4
14-5
13-6
12-7
11-8
10-9
9-10 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
8-11
7-12
6-13
5-14
4-15
3-16
2-17
1-18
0-19
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%