Pre-tourney Rankings
Big East
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
9 Villanova 100.0%   3   16 - 6 11 - 4 16 - 6 11 - 4 +15.8      +11.1 9 +4.7 62 63.1 309 +14.8 16 +15.8 1
10 Connecticut 99.7%   7   15 - 7 11 - 6 15 - 7 11 - 6 +15.5      +8.1 20 +7.3 23 64.3 290 +13.7 24 +13.2 3
11 Creighton 100.0%   5   20 - 8 14 - 6 20 - 8 14 - 6 +15.2      +8.9 13 +6.3 30 70.4 144 +14.5 17 +14.8 2
47 Georgetown 100.0%   13   13 - 12 7 - 9 13 - 12 7 - 9 +10.7      +4.6 70 +6.0 36 71.7 110 +10.1 55 +8.8 8
50 Seton Hall 13.5%   14 - 13 10 - 9 14 - 13 10 - 9 +10.5      +5.5 48 +5.0 52 66.6 236 +10.2 52 +11.1 4
58 St. John's 8.9%   16 - 11 10 - 9 16 - 11 10 - 9 +9.5      +6.4 39 +3.0 88 80.9 9 +10.2 54 +10.8 5
59 Xavier 15.1%   13 - 8 6 - 7 13 - 8 6 - 7 +9.4      +5.8 44 +3.6 75 70.0 152 +10.0 58 +8.9 7
64 Providence 0.1%   13 - 13 9 - 10 13 - 13 9 - 10 +8.8      +3.9 84 +4.9 55 65.8 256 +9.2 61 +9.9 6
69 Marquette 0.0%   13 - 14 8 - 11 13 - 14 8 - 11 +8.3      +3.9 85 +4.4 66 68.3 195 +9.1 64 +8.6 9
95 Butler 0.0%   10 - 15 8 - 12 10 - 15 8 - 12 +5.4      +1.5 128 +4.0 70 61.5 330 +7.2 81 +8.2 10
120 DePaul 0.0%   5 - 14 2 - 13 5 - 14 2 - 13 +3.2      -2.4 239 +5.6 42 73.5 83 +2.0 137 -0.7 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Villanova 2.0 100.0
Connecticut 2.0 100.0
Creighton 1.0 100.0
Georgetown 9.0 100.0
Seton Hall 4.0 100.0
St. John's 4.0 100.0
Xavier 10.0 100.0
Providence 6.0 100.0
Marquette 7.0 100.0
Butler 7.0 100.0
DePaul 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Villanova 11 - 9 100.0
Connecticut 11 - 9 100.0
Creighton 14 - 6 100.0
Georgetown 7 - 13 100.0
Seton Hall 10 - 10 100.0
St. John's 10 - 10 100.0
Xavier 6 - 14 100.0
Providence 9 - 11 100.0
Marquette 8 - 12 100.0
Butler 8 - 12 100.0
DePaul 2 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Villanova
Connecticut
Creighton 100.0% 100.0
Georgetown
Seton Hall
St. John's
Xavier
Providence
Marquette
Butler
DePaul


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Villanova 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   0.2 9.3 46.6 34.1 9.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Connecticut 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 7   0.5 1.8 14.3 28.8 36.0 15.5 2.7 0.1 0.3 99.7%
Creighton 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 5.7 16.1 45.6 27.5 5.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Georgetown 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.2 28.3 67.5 4.0
Seton Hall 13.5% 0.0% 13.5% 0.4 11.0 2.1 86.5 13.5%
St. John's 8.9% 0.0% 8.9% 0.0 0.0 1.4 6.9 0.6 91.1 8.9%
Xavier 15.1% 0.0% 15.1% 0.1 3.2 11.1 0.7 84.9 15.1%
Providence 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
Marquette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Butler 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Villanova 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 85.5% 52.4% 22.7% 9.5% 3.6% 1.1%
Connecticut 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 68.9% 32.5% 15.5% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7%
Creighton 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 74.9% 41.9% 15.7% 6.7% 2.4% 0.8%
Georgetown 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 34.3% 14.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Seton Hall 13.5% 13.5% 6.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. John's 8.9% 8.5% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Xavier 15.1% 14.4% 7.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Providence 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marquette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Butler 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 4.4 0.2 66.2 30.0 3.5 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 4.2 0.3 81.3 17.8 0.6 0.0
2nd Round 99.6% 2.7 0.5 7.3 30.9 45.5 15.3 0.6 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 86.8% 1.4 13.3 41.6 34.7 9.7 0.8 0.0
Elite Eight 47.6% 0.6 52.4 38.8 8.3 0.6 0.0
Final Four 21.9% 0.2 78.1 20.5 1.4 0.0
Final Game 8.4% 0.1 91.6 8.3 0.1
Champion 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6