Pre-tourney Rankings
Villanova
Big East
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.8#9
Expected Predictive Rating+14.8#16
Pace63.1#309
Improvement-1.6#247

Offense
Total Offense+11.1#9
First Shot+8.8#10
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#37
Layup/Dunks+0.2#151
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#124
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#28
Freethrows+2.7#18
Improvement-3.5#328

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#62
First Shot+1.9#106
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#9
Layups/Dunks+2.6#82
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#281
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#293
Freethrows+3.3#4
Improvement+1.8#85
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 9.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 90.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round85.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen52.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight22.7% n/a n/a
Final Four9.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game3.6% n/a n/a
National Champion1.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b4 - 25 - 3
Quad 24 - 39 - 6
Quad 36 - 015 - 6
Quad 41 - 016 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 147   Boston College W 76-67 91%     1 - 0 +9.9 +9.1 +1.6
  Nov 26, 2020 103   Arizona St. W 83-74 84%     2 - 0 +14.0 +8.6 +5.1
  Nov 28, 2020 49   Virginia Tech L 73-81 OT 70%     2 - 1 +2.5 +4.6 -1.9
  Dec 01, 2020 189   Hartford W 87-53 94%     3 - 1 +32.0 +25.8 +10.3
  Dec 06, 2020 25   @ Texas W 68-64 49%     4 - 1 +20.2 +5.3 +15.1
  Dec 11, 2020 47   @ Georgetown W 76-63 62%     5 - 1 1 - 0 +25.6 +16.7 +10.0
  Dec 16, 2020 95   Butler W 85-66 87%     6 - 1 2 - 0 +22.5 +20.5 +3.2
  Dec 19, 2020 196   Saint Joseph's W 88-68 96%     7 - 1 +15.7 +12.4 +3.3
  Dec 23, 2020 69   @ Marquette W 85-68 71%     8 - 1 3 - 0 +27.2 +22.6 +5.6
  Jan 19, 2021 50   Seton Hall W 76-74 75%     9 - 1 4 - 0 +10.6 +10.5 +0.1
  Jan 23, 2021 64   Providence W 71-56 80%     10 - 1 5 - 0 +21.9 +3.1 +19.0
  Jan 30, 2021 50   @ Seton Hall W 80-72 63%     11 - 1 6 - 0 +20.4 +17.0 +3.8
  Feb 03, 2021 58   @ St. John's L 59-70 67%     11 - 2 6 - 1 +0.4 -9.1 +9.4
  Feb 07, 2021 47   Georgetown W 84-74 75%     12 - 2 7 - 1 +18.8 +24.7 -5.0
  Feb 10, 2021 69   Marquette W 96-64 81%     13 - 2 8 - 1 +38.4 +35.5 +5.8
  Feb 13, 2021 11   @ Creighton L 70-86 45%     13 - 3 8 - 2 +1.1 +10.8 -11.1
  Feb 20, 2021 10   Connecticut W 68-60 59%     14 - 3 9 - 2 +21.6 +8.3 +14.0
  Feb 23, 2021 58   St. John's W 81-58 78%     15 - 3 10 - 2 +30.6 +3.7 +25.0
  Feb 28, 2021 95   @ Butler L 61-73 79%     15 - 4 10 - 3 -4.7 -2.8 -2.7
  Mar 03, 2021 11   Creighton W 72-60 60%     16 - 4 11 - 3 +25.3 +9.4 +16.7
  Mar 06, 2021 64   @ Providence L 52-54 69%     16 - 5 11 - 4 +8.7 -8.8 +17.3
  Mar 11, 2021 47   Georgetown L 71-72 69%     16 - 6 +9.7 +11.9 -2.4
Projected Record 16 - 6 11 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big East Finish

0-15 1-14 2-13 3-12 4-11 5-10 6-9 7-8 8-7 9-6 10-5 11-4 12-3 13-2 14-1 15-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
15-0
14-1
13-2
12-3
11-4 0.0%
10-5
9-6
8-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
15-0
14-1
13-2
12-3
11-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.4 0.2 9.3 46.6 34.1 9.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 100.0%
10-5
9-6
8-7
7-8
6-9
5-10
4-11
3-12
2-13
1-14
0-15
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.4 0.2 9.3 46.6 34.1 9.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 100.0%