Pre-tourney Rankings
Connecticut
Big East
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.5#10
Expected Predictive Rating+13.7#24
Pace64.3#290
Improvement+2.1#86

Offense
Total Offense+8.1#20
First Shot+5.6#44
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#28
Layup/Dunks+3.1#59
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#156
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#165
Freethrows+2.2#34
Improvement+1.5#92

Defense
Total Defense+7.3#23
First Shot+6.8#15
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#124
Layups/Dunks+1.7#116
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#13
Freethrows-0.1#183
Improvement+0.6#144
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 2.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 45.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.7% n/a n/a
Second Round68.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen32.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight15.5% n/a n/a
Final Four6.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 21 - 2
Quad 1b3 - 24 - 4
Quad 23 - 37 - 7
Quad 37 - 014 - 7
Quad 41 - 015 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 334   Central Connecticut St. W 102-75 99%     1 - 0 +11.6 +15.5 -5.6
  Nov 27, 2020 189   Hartford W 69-57 95%     2 - 0 +8.1 +2.7 +6.5
  Dec 03, 2020 15   USC W 61-58 53%     3 - 0 +17.8 +6.2 +12.1
  Dec 20, 2020 11   Creighton L 74-76 OT 58%     3 - 1 0 - 1 +11.3 -0.5 +12.0
  Dec 30, 2020 120   DePaul W 82-61 90%     4 - 1 1 - 1 +22.3 +12.3 +9.6
  Jan 05, 2021 69   @ Marquette W 65-54 70%     5 - 1 2 - 1 +21.2 +8.7 +14.4
  Jan 09, 2021 95   @ Butler W 72-60 78%     6 - 1 3 - 1 +19.3 +8.4 +11.6
  Jan 11, 2021 120   @ DePaul W 60-53 83%     7 - 1 4 - 1 +12.1 -2.8 +15.3
  Jan 18, 2021 58   St. John's L 70-74 77%     7 - 2 4 - 2 +3.6 -1.1 +4.7
  Jan 23, 2021 11   @ Creighton L 66-74 44%     7 - 3 4 - 3 +9.1 +5.4 +3.2
  Jan 26, 2021 95   Butler W 63-51 87%     8 - 3 5 - 3 +15.5 +4.0 +13.6
  Feb 06, 2021 50   Seton Hall L 73-80 75%     8 - 4 5 - 4 +1.6 +13.3 -12.5
  Feb 10, 2021 64   @ Providence L 59-70 68%     8 - 5 5 - 5 -0.3 -3.9 +2.9
  Feb 13, 2021 59   @ Xavier W 80-72 66%     9 - 5 6 - 5 +19.3 +11.7 +7.6
  Feb 16, 2021 64   Providence W 73-61 79%     10 - 5 7 - 5 +18.9 +8.5 +11.1
  Feb 20, 2021 9   @ Villanova L 60-68 41%     10 - 6 7 - 6 +9.7 -1.2 +10.1
  Feb 23, 2021 47   @ Georgetown W 70-57 61%     11 - 6 8 - 6 +25.6 +5.7 +20.2
  Feb 27, 2021 69   Marquette W 80-62 81%     12 - 6 9 - 6 +24.4 +16.0 +9.6
  Mar 03, 2021 50   @ Seton Hall W 69-58 62%     13 - 6 10 - 6 +23.4 +7.9 +16.4
  Mar 06, 2021 47   Georgetown W 98-82 74%     14 - 6 11 - 6 +24.8 +25.1 -1.2
  Mar 11, 2021 120   DePaul W 94-60 87%     15 - 6 +37.2 +26.4 +10.6
  Mar 12, 2021 11   Creighton L 56-59 51%     15 - 7 +12.2 -6.5 +18.5
Projected Record 15 - 7 11 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big East Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6 0.0%
10-7
9-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6 100.0% 99.7% 99.7% 6.6 0.5 1.8 14.3 28.8 36.0 15.5 2.7 0.1 0.3 99.7%
10-7
9-8
8-9
7-10
6-11
5-12
4-13
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 6.6 0.5 1.8 14.3 28.8 36.0 15.5 2.7 0.1 0.3 99.7%