Pre-tourney Rankings
USC
Pac-12
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.8#15
Expected Predictive Rating+14.3#20
Pace67.1#227
Improvement-3.2#299

Offense
Total Offense+7.3#30
First Shot+2.6#102
After Offensive Rebound+4.7#4
Layup/Dunks+2.6#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#265
Freethrows+1.0#110
Improvement-1.7#270

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#20
First Shot+6.5#22
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#88
Layups/Dunks+5.6#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#282
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#198
Freethrows+2.6#19
Improvement-1.4#254
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 1.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 32.7% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 88.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.8% n/a n/a
Second Round73.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen39.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight14.9% n/a n/a
Final Four6.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 13 - 4
Quad 26 - 39 - 7
Quad 310 - 019 - 7
Quad 43 - 022 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 239   California Baptist W 95-87 OT 97%     1 - 0 +1.1 +4.9 -4.7
  Nov 28, 2020 199   Montana W 76-62 95%     2 - 0 +9.4 +2.7 +6.8
  Dec 01, 2020 24   BYU W 79-53 52%     3 - 0 +40.3 +11.5 +28.4
  Dec 03, 2020 10   Connecticut L 58-61 47%     3 - 1 +12.5 +2.5 +9.5
  Dec 08, 2020 119   UC Irvine W 91-56 89%     4 - 1 +36.4 +16.7 +17.4
  Dec 29, 2020 168   Santa Clara W 86-63 93%     5 - 1 +21.0 +5.6 +13.5
  Dec 31, 2020 23   Colorado L 62-72 59%     5 - 2 0 - 1 +2.5 -3.4 +5.6
  Jan 02, 2021 68   Utah W 64-46 79%     6 - 2 1 - 1 +24.4 -0.2 +26.7
  Jan 07, 2021 42   @ Arizona W 87-73 58%     7 - 2 2 - 1 +26.8 +12.4 +13.4
  Jan 09, 2021 103   @ Arizona St. W 73-64 78%     8 - 2 3 - 1 +15.9 -0.9 +16.4
  Jan 12, 2021 124   UC Riverside W 67-62 OT 90%     9 - 2 +5.9 -0.2 +6.4
  Jan 14, 2021 161   Washington W 95-68 93%     10 - 2 4 - 1 +25.4 +18.2 +6.3
  Jan 16, 2021 98   Washington St. W 85-77 86%     11 - 2 5 - 1 +11.4 +11.5 -0.7
  Jan 19, 2021 80   @ Oregon St. L 56-58 70%     11 - 3 5 - 2 +7.3 -4.5 +11.5
  Jan 23, 2021 126   @ California W 76-68 83%     12 - 3 6 - 2 +12.6 +11.8 +1.4
  Jan 28, 2021 80   Oregon St. W 75-62 81%     13 - 3 7 - 2 +18.6 +8.0 +11.3
  Feb 02, 2021 82   @ Stanford W 72-66 70%     14 - 3 8 - 2 +15.2 +10.6 +5.1
  Feb 06, 2021 43   UCLA W 66-48 72%     15 - 3 9 - 2 +26.9 +3.7 +25.4
  Feb 11, 2021 161   @ Washington W 69-54 88%     16 - 3 10 - 2 +17.2 +0.3 +17.5
  Feb 13, 2021 98   @ Washington St. W 76-65 77%     17 - 3 11 - 2 +18.2 +6.0 +11.6
  Feb 17, 2021 103   Arizona St. W 89-71 86%     18 - 3 12 - 2 +21.1 +20.2 +1.5
  Feb 20, 2021 42   Arizona L 72-81 71%     18 - 4 12 - 3 +0.0 +1.8 -1.8
  Feb 22, 2021 33   Oregon W 72-58 66%     19 - 4 13 - 3 +24.6 +10.8 +15.5
  Feb 25, 2021 23   @ Colorado L 62-80 44%     19 - 5 13 - 4 -1.7 -1.2 -1.2
  Feb 27, 2021 68   @ Utah L 61-71 67%     19 - 6 13 - 5 +0.2 -5.2 +4.9
  Mar 03, 2021 82   Stanford W 79-42 81%     20 - 6 14 - 5 +42.4 +11.5 +31.2
  Mar 06, 2021 43   @ UCLA W 64-63 58%     21 - 6 15 - 5 +13.6 +3.8 +10.0
  Mar 11, 2021 68   Utah W 91-85 2OT 73%     22 - 6 +14.3 +7.1 +6.4
  Mar 12, 2021 23   Colorado L 70-72 52%     22 - 7 +12.4 +12.2 +0.0
Projected Record 22 - 7 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 99.8% 99.8% 5.0 0.0 1.2 9.2 22.3 33.2 22.7 9.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.2 99.8%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 5.0 0.0 1.2 9.2 22.3 33.2 22.7 9.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.2 99.8%