Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado
Pac-12
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.4#23
Expected Predictive Rating+13.5#29
Pace65.2#270
Improvement-1.7#250

Offense
Total Offense+8.2#19
First Shot+6.3#33
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#60
Layup/Dunks-0.3#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#57
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#102
Freethrows+2.5#24
Improvement-0.6#208

Defense
Total Defense+6.2#32
First Shot+4.6#48
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#56
Layups/Dunks+1.8#111
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#203
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#111
Freethrows+1.6#70
Improvement-1.0#234
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 3.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 53.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.5% n/a n/a
Second Round65.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen29.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight12.6% n/a n/a
Final Four4.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.6% n/a n/a
National Champion0.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 22 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 23 - 4
Quad 27 - 110 - 5
Quad 38 - 318 - 8
Quad 44 - 022 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 177   South Dakota W 84-61 91%     1 - 0 +22.4 +5.9 +16.1
  Nov 27, 2020 137   @ Kansas St. W 76-58 84%     2 - 0 +21.8 +12.8 +10.1
  Dec 08, 2020 21   @ Tennessee L 47-56 42%     2 - 1 +7.4 -11.0 +17.7
  Dec 14, 2020 231   Northern Colorado W 81-45 96%     3 - 1 +29.5 +3.8 +25.2
  Dec 16, 2020 305   Nebraska Omaha W 91-49 98%     4 - 1 +30.8 +9.4 +19.4
  Dec 20, 2020 161   Washington W 92-69 90%     5 - 1 1 - 0 +23.3 +19.9 +3.5
  Dec 22, 2020 112   Grand Canyon W 74-64 83%     6 - 1 +14.1 +13.4 +1.9
  Dec 28, 2020 42   @ Arizona L 74-88 56%     6 - 2 1 - 1 -1.2 +8.2 -9.9
  Dec 31, 2020 15   @ USC W 72-62 41%     7 - 2 2 - 1 +26.7 +10.1 +16.9
  Jan 02, 2021 43   @ UCLA L 62-65 57%     7 - 3 2 - 2 +9.6 -0.7 +10.1
  Jan 07, 2021 33   Oregon W 79-72 65%     8 - 3 3 - 2 +17.6 +7.2 +10.2
  Jan 11, 2021 68   @ Utah W 65-58 66%     9 - 3 4 - 2 +17.2 -2.2 +19.7
  Jan 14, 2021 126   California W 89-60 89%     10 - 3 5 - 2 +29.8 +19.4 +11.2
  Jan 16, 2021 82   Stanford W 77-64 80%     11 - 3 6 - 2 +18.4 +7.7 +10.6
  Jan 20, 2021 161   @ Washington L 80-84 87%     11 - 4 6 - 3 -1.8 +12.0 -14.0
  Jan 23, 2021 98   @ Washington St. W 70-59 76%     12 - 4 7 - 3 +18.2 +9.7 +9.3
  Jan 27, 2021 98   Washington St. W 70-58 85%     13 - 4 8 - 3 +15.4 +11.3 +5.7
  Jan 30, 2021 68   Utah L 74-77 78%     13 - 5 8 - 4 +3.4 +6.3 -3.0
  Feb 06, 2021 42   Arizona W 82-79 70%     14 - 5 9 - 4 +12.0 +17.8 -5.6
  Feb 08, 2021 80   Oregon St. W 78-49 80%     15 - 5 10 - 4 +34.6 +6.6 +28.0
  Feb 11, 2021 82   @ Stanford W 69-51 69%     16 - 5 11 - 4 +27.2 +10.4 +18.8
  Feb 13, 2021 126   @ California L 62-71 82%     16 - 6 11 - 5 -4.4 -3.8 -1.3
  Feb 18, 2021 33   @ Oregon L 56-60 50%     16 - 7 11 - 6 +10.4 -10.0 +20.2
  Feb 20, 2021 80   @ Oregon St. W 61-57 69%     17 - 7 12 - 6 +13.3 -2.0 +15.8
  Feb 25, 2021 15   USC W 80-62 56%     18 - 7 13 - 6 +30.9 +16.9 +14.7
  Feb 27, 2021 43   UCLA W 70-61 70%     19 - 7 14 - 6 +17.9 +9.4 +9.7
  Mar 04, 2021 103   Arizona St. W 75-61 85%     20 - 7 15 - 6 +17.1 +5.3 +12.2
  Mar 11, 2021 126   California W 61-58 86%     21 - 7 +5.7 -2.2 +8.3
  Mar 12, 2021 15   USC W 72-70 48%     22 - 7 +16.8 +15.7 +1.4
  Mar 13, 2021 80   Oregon St. L 68-70 75%     22 - 8 +5.5 +10.0 -4.9
Projected Record 22 - 8 15 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-21 1-20 2-19 3-18 4-17 5-16 6-15 7-14 8-13 9-12 10-11 11-10 12-9 13-8 14-7 15-6 16-5 17-4 18-3 19-2 20-1 21-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
21-0
20-1
19-2
18-3
17-4
16-5
15-6 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-7
13-8
12-9
11-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
21-0
20-1
19-2
18-3
17-4
16-5
15-6 100.0% 99.5% 99.5% 6.4 0.0 0.6 2.7 14.9 35.6 29.2 13.2 3.3 0.2 0.5 99.5%
14-7
13-8
12-9
11-10
10-11
9-12
8-13
7-14
6-15
5-16
4-17
3-18
2-19
1-20
0-21
Total 100% 99.5% 0.0% 99.5% 6.4 0.0 0.6 2.7 14.9 35.6 29.2 13.2 3.3 0.2 0.5 99.5%