Pre-tourney Rankings
Montana
Big Sky
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#199
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#195
Pace64.7#282
Improvement-3.2#302

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#242
First Shot-1.8#232
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#230
Layup/Dunks-3.1#286
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#302
Freethrows+3.0#14
Improvement+1.3#105

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#176
First Shot-0.8#195
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#110
Layups/Dunks-2.3#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#54
Freethrows-0.8#235
Improvement-4.6#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 33 - 33 - 9
Quad 47 - 410 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 15   @ USC L 62-76 5%     0 - 1 +2.7 -1.8 +4.4
  Dec 03, 2020 139   @ Southern Utah L 63-64 27%     0 - 2 0 - 1 +2.6 -6.0 +8.5
  Dec 05, 2020 139   @ Southern Utah L 74-75 27%     0 - 3 0 - 2 +2.6 +0.4 +2.2
  Dec 08, 2020 92   @ Georgia L 50-63 17%     0 - 4 -5.4 -21.9 +16.9
  Dec 16, 2020 161   @ Washington W 66-58 32%     1 - 4 +10.2 -6.7 +16.8
  Dec 22, 2020 42   @ Arizona L 64-70 8%     1 - 5 +6.8 -3.0 +9.7
  Jan 02, 2021 231   Northern Colorado L 62-64 65%     1 - 6 0 - 3 -8.5 -9.1 +0.5
  Jan 04, 2021 231   Northern Colorado W 56-54 65%     2 - 6 1 - 3 -4.5 -17.2 +12.8
  Jan 14, 2021 308   Northern Arizona W 67-56 80%     3 - 6 2 - 3 -0.4 +0.8 +1.1
  Jan 16, 2021 308   Northern Arizona L 58-62 80%     3 - 7 2 - 4 -15.4 -13.4 -2.7
  Jan 21, 2021 256   @ Sacramento St. W 78-66 55%     4 - 7 3 - 4 +7.9 +8.2 +1.0
  Jan 23, 2021 256   @ Sacramento St. L 83-89 2OT 55%     4 - 8 3 - 5 -10.1 -4.1 -5.4
  Feb 04, 2021 247   @ Portland St. W 70-64 OT 54%     5 - 8 4 - 5 +2.4 -8.7 +10.4
  Feb 06, 2021 247   @ Portland St. L 56-61 54%     5 - 9 4 - 6 -8.6 -4.0 -5.5
  Feb 11, 2021 125   Weber St. W 80-67 37%     6 - 9 5 - 6 +13.8 +8.4 +5.9
  Feb 13, 2021 125   Weber St. L 82-91 37%     6 - 10 5 - 7 -8.2 +8.3 -16.6
  Feb 18, 2021 105   @ Eastern Washington L 76-90 19%     6 - 11 5 - 8 -7.4 +1.8 -8.5
  Feb 20, 2021 105   Eastern Washington L 76-90 30%     6 - 12 5 - 9 -11.2 +2.3 -13.4
  Feb 25, 2021 261   @ Idaho St. W 64-58 57%     7 - 12 6 - 9 +1.4 -3.0 +4.9
  Feb 27, 2021 261   @ Idaho St. W 59-58 57%     8 - 12 7 - 9 -3.6 -11.6 +8.0
  Mar 10, 2021 340   Idaho W 69-64 88%     9 - 12 -10.7 -10.7 +0.1
  Mar 11, 2021 125   Weber St. W 80-75 30%     10 - 12 +7.7 +3.6 +4.0
  Mar 12, 2021 105   Eastern Washington L 50-78 24%     10 - 13 -23.3 -20.5 -3.6
Projected Record 10 - 13 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%