Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas
Big 12
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.3#25
Expected Predictive Rating+16.1#12
Pace70.5#142
Improvement-3.0#295

Offense
Total Offense+8.3#17
First Shot+7.0#23
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#90
Layup/Dunks+3.2#57
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#65
Freethrows+1.8#60
Improvement-0.7#215

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#38
First Shot+4.3#53
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#52
Layups/Dunks+2.2#93
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#135
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#84
Freethrows-0.5#212
Improvement-2.3#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 4.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 86.5% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round80.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen44.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight15.9% n/a n/a
Final Four5.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 35 - 3
Quad 1b3 - 38 - 6
Quad 22 - 110 - 7
Quad 34 - 014 - 7
Quad 45 - 019 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 297   UT Rio Grande Valley W 91-55 98%     1 - 0 +25.4 +8.4 +13.6
  Nov 30, 2020 56   Davidson W 78-76 67%     2 - 0 +11.6 +15.8 -3.9
  Dec 01, 2020 44   Indiana W 66-44 64%     3 - 0 +32.7 +1.6 +31.9
  Dec 02, 2020 19   North Carolina W 69-67 49%     4 - 0 +16.6 +6.3 +10.3
  Dec 06, 2020 9   Villanova L 64-68 51%     4 - 1 +9.9 -2.1 +11.9
  Dec 09, 2020 179   Texas St. W 74-53 93%     5 - 1 +18.4 +3.7 +15.3
  Dec 16, 2020 180   Sam Houston St. W 79-63 93%     6 - 1 +13.4 +2.0 +10.7
  Dec 20, 2020 28   Oklahoma St. W 77-74 60%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +14.8 +8.6 +6.1
  Jan 02, 2021 17   @ Kansas W 84-59 41%     8 - 1 2 - 0 +41.6 +17.7 +22.7
  Jan 05, 2021 162   Iowa St. W 78-72 92%     9 - 1 3 - 0 +4.4 +5.3 -0.9
  Jan 09, 2021 26   @ West Virginia W 72-70 43%     10 - 1 4 - 0 +18.0 +4.9 +13.2
  Jan 13, 2021 22   Texas Tech L 77-79 57%     10 - 2 4 - 1 +10.5 +10.7 -0.2
  Jan 16, 2021 137   Kansas St. W 82-67 90%     11 - 2 5 - 1 +15.0 +12.5 +2.5
  Jan 26, 2021 38   Oklahoma L 79-80 66%     11 - 3 5 - 2 +9.0 +5.2 +3.8
  Feb 02, 2021 3   Baylor L 69-83 35%     11 - 4 5 - 3 +4.2 +4.1 -0.6
  Feb 06, 2021 28   @ Oklahoma St. L 67-75 2OT 45%     11 - 5 5 - 4 +7.5 -12.3 +21.6
  Feb 09, 2021 137   @ Kansas St. W 80-77 84%     12 - 5 6 - 4 +6.8 +17.9 -10.9
  Feb 13, 2021 129   TCU W 70-55 89%     13 - 5 7 - 4 +15.7 +2.8 +14.1
  Feb 20, 2021 26   West Virginia L 82-84 58%     13 - 6 7 - 5 +10.2 +11.4 -1.1
  Feb 23, 2021 17   Kansas W 75-72 OT 56%     14 - 6 8 - 5 +15.8 +2.4 +13.0
  Feb 27, 2021 22   @ Texas Tech L 59-68 42%     14 - 7 8 - 6 +7.3 -0.9 +7.6
  Mar 02, 2021 162   @ Iowa St. W 81-67 87%     15 - 7 9 - 6 +16.2 +5.1 +10.2
  Mar 04, 2021 38   @ Oklahoma W 69-65 52%     16 - 7 10 - 6 +17.8 +11.2 +7.1
  Mar 07, 2021 129   @ TCU W 76-64 82%     17 - 7 11 - 6 +16.5 +2.6 +13.5
  Mar 11, 2021 22   Texas Tech W 67-66 49%     18 - 7 +15.4 +6.7 +8.8
  Mar 13, 2021 28   Oklahoma St. W 91-86 52%     19 - 7 +18.7 +18.6 -0.3
Projected Record 19 - 7 11 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6 0.0%
10-7
9-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.7 0.0 4.5 39.9 42.1 12.8 0.7 0.0
10-7
9-8
8-9
7-10
6-11
5-12
4-13
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 3.7 0.0 4.5 39.9 42.1 12.8 0.7 0.0