Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas St.
Sun Belt
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#179
Expected Predictive Rating+2.0#138
Pace59.1#343
Improvement+3.1#51

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#231
First Shot-0.3#184
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#289
Layup/Dunks-0.2#169
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#304
Freethrows-1.2#260
Improvement+0.6#141

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#129
First Shot+1.1#126
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#146
Layups/Dunks+3.0#71
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#73
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#280
Freethrows-1.0#252
Improvement+2.5#50
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 13 - 3
Quad 414 - 317 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 335   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 75-63 85%     1 - 0 +0.2 -1.2 +1.5
  Nov 30, 2020 71   @ Mississippi St. L 51-68 16%     1 - 1 -7.0 -9.9 +0.9
  Dec 05, 2020 336   Incarnate Word W 72-64 92%     2 - 1 -8.0 -4.9 -2.6
  Dec 09, 2020 25   @ Texas L 53-74 7%     2 - 2 -4.8 -11.4 +6.0
  Dec 15, 2020 335   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 51-46 91%     3 - 2 -10.6 -16.0 +6.5
  Dec 19, 2020 333   @ Denver W 70-68 84%     4 - 2 -9.4 -10.3 +0.8
  Dec 21, 2020 308   Northern Arizona W 70-65 80%     5 - 2 -4.5 -0.7 -3.1
  Jan 01, 2021 195   @ Louisiana L 77-83 OT 49%     5 - 3 0 - 1 -6.5 -6.0 +0.2
  Jan 02, 2021 195   @ Louisiana W 71-59 49%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +11.5 +2.5 +9.8
  Jan 15, 2021 226   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 63-59 57%     7 - 3 2 - 1 +1.6 -6.4 +8.3
  Jan 16, 2021 226   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 67-56 57%     8 - 3 3 - 1 +8.6 +9.5 +1.7
  Jan 22, 2021 278   @ Louisiana Monroe W 57-47 69%     9 - 3 4 - 1 +4.2 -11.3 +16.4
  Jan 23, 2021 278   @ Louisiana Monroe W 69-63 69%     10 - 3 5 - 1 +0.2 +3.5 -2.6
  Jan 29, 2021 195   Louisiana L 60-62 64%     10 - 4 5 - 2 -6.3 -10.3 +3.8
  Jan 30, 2021 195   Louisiana L 73-74 64%     10 - 5 5 - 3 -5.3 +9.8 -15.3
  Feb 05, 2021 226   Arkansas Little Rock W 57-47 70%     11 - 5 6 - 3 +3.8 -7.1 +12.8
  Feb 06, 2021 226   Arkansas Little Rock W 77-67 OT 70%     12 - 5 7 - 3 +3.8 +8.5 -3.8
  Feb 11, 2021 235   @ Texas Arlington W 63-56 59%     13 - 5 8 - 3 +4.0 -5.6 +10.1
  Feb 13, 2021 235   Texas Arlington W 79-68 72%     14 - 5 9 - 3 +4.2 +11.8 -6.4
  Feb 22, 2021 232   @ Arkansas St. W 57-52 58%     15 - 5 10 - 3 +2.3 -12.8 +15.6
  Feb 26, 2021 278   Louisiana Monroe W 58-49 80%     16 - 5 11 - 3 -0.6 -9.2 +9.9
  Feb 27, 2021 278   Louisiana Monroe W 61-57 80%     17 - 5 12 - 3 -5.6 -8.1 +3.0
  Mar 06, 2021 191   Appalachian St. L 73-76 OT 55%     17 - 6 -5.1 -2.8 -2.2
Projected Record 17 - 6 12 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-15 1-14 2-13 3-12 4-11 5-10 6-9 7-8 8-7 9-6 10-5 11-4 12-3 13-2 14-1 15-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
15-0
14-1
13-2
12-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-4
10-5
9-6
8-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
15-0
14-1
13-2
12-3 100.0% 100.0
11-4
10-5
9-6
8-7
7-8
6-9
5-10
4-11
3-12
2-13
1-14
0-15
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%