Pre-tourney Rankings
Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#191
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#188
Pace62.6#319
Improvement+0.9#143

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#202
First Shot-1.3#219
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#150
Layup/Dunks-1.0#212
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#277
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#151
Freethrows+1.5#78
Improvement-1.5#263

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#203
First Shot-1.4#220
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#139
Layups/Dunks-0.3#187
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#210
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#322
Freethrows+3.3#6
Improvement+2.4#56
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four98.1% n/a n/a
First Round55.3% n/a n/a
Second Round0.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 37 - 27 - 5
Quad 46 - 613 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 343   @ South Carolina St. W 79-65 90%     1 - 0 -2.1 +5.2 -6.3
  Nov 30, 2020 132   Bowling Green L 76-78 OT 40%     1 - 1 -1.6 -5.5 +4.1
  Dec 11, 2020 221   @ Charlotte W 61-57 50%     2 - 1 +1.7 -6.4 +8.5
  Dec 15, 2020 21   @ Tennessee L 38-79 5%     2 - 2 -24.6 -17.2 -14.9
  Dec 22, 2020 60   @ Auburn L 53-67 11%     2 - 3 -2.8 -5.5 -0.1
  Jan 01, 2021 274   Troy L 56-69 76%     2 - 4 0 - 1 -22.4 -14.4 -9.1
  Jan 02, 2021 274   Troy W 90-59 76%     3 - 4 1 - 1 +21.6 +16.1 +6.0
  Jan 08, 2021 250   Georgia Southern W 66-63 70%     4 - 4 2 - 1 -4.7 -2.8 -1.6
  Jan 09, 2021 250   Georgia Southern W 77-71 70%     5 - 4 3 - 1 -1.7 +8.2 -9.4
  Jan 15, 2021 197   @ South Alabama L 64-73 44%     5 - 5 3 - 2 -9.7 -7.5 -2.7
  Jan 16, 2021 197   @ South Alabama W 83-77 44%     6 - 5 4 - 2 +5.3 +12.3 -6.7
  Jan 22, 2021 144   Georgia St. W 80-71 45%     7 - 5 5 - 2 +8.2 +6.2 +2.2
  Jan 23, 2021 144   Georgia St. W 74-61 45%     8 - 5 6 - 2 +12.2 +3.3 +9.7
  Jan 29, 2021 274   @ Troy L 62-71 63%     8 - 6 6 - 3 -14.6 -13.8 -0.5
  Jan 30, 2021 274   @ Troy L 59-65 63%     8 - 7 6 - 4 -11.6 -7.4 -4.9
  Feb 19, 2021 197   South Alabama L 63-65 59%     8 - 8 6 - 5 -6.5 -14.3 +7.8
  Feb 20, 2021 197   South Alabama L 54-56 59%     8 - 9 6 - 6 -6.5 -15.1 +8.3
  Feb 23, 2021 144   @ Georgia St. L 71-85 31%     8 - 10 6 - 7 -11.0 +0.7 -12.3
  Feb 26, 2021 250   @ Georgia Southern W 84-78 2OT 57%     9 - 10 7 - 7 +2.1 +0.7 +0.6
  Feb 27, 2021 250   @ Georgia Southern L 57-65 57%     9 - 11 7 - 8 -11.9 -3.6 -9.9
  Mar 05, 2021 226   Arkansas Little Rock W 67-60 58%     10 - 11 +2.7 -1.0 +4.3
  Mar 06, 2021 179   Texas St. W 76-73 OT 45%     11 - 11 +2.3 +2.5 -0.3
  Mar 07, 2021 159   Coastal Carolina W 64-61 OT 40%     12 - 11 +3.4 -13.1 +16.3
  Mar 08, 2021 144   Georgia St. W 80-73 38%     13 - 11 +8.1 +3.3 +4.6
Projected Record 13 - 11 7 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-15 1-14 2-13 3-12 4-11 5-10 6-9 7-8 8-7 9-6 10-5 11-4 12-3 13-2 14-1 15-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
15-0
14-1
13-2
12-3
11-4
10-5
9-6
8-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
15-0
14-1
13-2
12-3
11-4
10-5
9-6
8-7
7-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 0.4 99.7
6-9
5-10
4-11
3-12
2-13
1-14
0-15
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.7