Pre-tourney Rankings
Troy
Sun Belt
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#274
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#250
Pace69.8#155
Improvement+1.4#115

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#300
First Shot-5.4#302
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#214
Layup/Dunks-2.4#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#122
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#328
Freethrows+1.9#53
Improvement+3.0#34

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#211
First Shot-1.1#209
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#216
Layups/Dunks+2.5#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#265
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#323
Freethrows+1.4#80
Improvement-1.6#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 71 - 12
Quad 47 - 58 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 27, 2020 238   Western Carolina W 66-64 40%     1 - 0 -3.0 -16.7 +13.5
  Nov 28, 2020 252   UNC Wilmington L 50-73 44%     1 - 1 -28.8 -21.7 -10.2
  Dec 04, 2020 22   @ Texas Tech L 46-80 2%     1 - 2 -17.7 -16.0 -3.5
  Dec 06, 2020 93   @ UAB L 55-77 9%     1 - 3 -14.5 -12.8 -1.4
  Dec 10, 2020 277   @ North Alabama W 62-57 43%     2 - 3 -0.8 -6.9 +6.6
  Dec 16, 2020 269   Samford W 79-71 56%     3 - 3 -1.2 -6.9 +4.7
  Dec 19, 2020 60   @ Auburn L 41-77 5%     3 - 4 -24.8 -26.2 -0.1
  Jan 01, 2021 191   @ Appalachian St. W 69-56 24%     4 - 4 1 - 0 +12.8 +2.1 +11.8
  Jan 02, 2021 191   @ Appalachian St. L 59-90 24%     4 - 5 1 - 1 -31.2 -13.0 -18.7
  Jan 15, 2021 250   @ Georgia Southern L 64-67 OT 36%     4 - 6 1 - 2 -6.9 -11.9 +5.2
  Jan 16, 2021 250   @ Georgia Southern L 56-63 36%     4 - 7 1 - 3 -10.9 -9.3 -2.4
  Jan 22, 2021 159   @ Coastal Carolina L 81-90 18%     4 - 8 1 - 4 -6.7 +10.4 -17.0
  Jan 23, 2021 159   @ Coastal Carolina L 65-70 18%     4 - 9 1 - 5 -2.7 -7.3 +4.8
  Jan 29, 2021 191   Appalachian St. W 71-62 37%     5 - 9 2 - 5 +5.0 -6.5 +11.1
  Jan 30, 2021 191   Appalachian St. W 65-59 37%     6 - 9 3 - 5 +2.0 -2.1 +4.8
  Feb 05, 2021 250   Georgia Southern W 68-56 51%     7 - 9 4 - 5 +4.3 -9.6 +13.4
  Feb 06, 2021 250   Georgia Southern L 64-79 51%     7 - 10 4 - 6 -22.7 -9.8 -13.0
  Feb 11, 2021 197   @ South Alabama L 70-73 26%     7 - 11 4 - 7 -3.7 +0.1 -4.0
  Feb 13, 2021 197   South Alabama L 51-58 39%     7 - 12 4 - 8 -11.5 -25.1 +13.5
  Feb 19, 2021 144   @ Georgia St. L 66-80 16%     7 - 13 4 - 9 -11.0 -2.1 -10.1
  Feb 20, 2021 144   @ Georgia St. L 53-65 16%     7 - 14 4 - 10 -9.0 -20.6 +11.7
  Feb 26, 2021 159   Coastal Carolina L 59-75 28%     7 - 15 4 - 11 -17.5 -15.7 -1.0
  Feb 27, 2021 159   Coastal Carolina L 71-76 28%     7 - 16 4 - 12 -6.5 -2.3 -4.0
  Mar 05, 2021 235   Texas Arlington W 91-86 40%     8 - 16 +0.1 +3.9 -4.5
  Mar 06, 2021 159   Coastal Carolina L 68-86 23%     8 - 17 -17.6 -5.8 -11.1
Projected Record 8 - 17 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12 100.0% 100.0
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%