Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas Arlington
Sun Belt
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#235
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#227
Pace71.3#120
Improvement-1.4#235

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#246
First Shot-2.3#245
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#201
Layup/Dunks-6.0#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#31
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#106
Freethrows-1.6#286
Improvement-0.2#185

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#230
First Shot+0.0#163
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#320
Layups/Dunks+4.2#40
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#302
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#287
Freethrows+0.1#177
Improvement-1.1#238
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 410 - 510 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 28   Oklahoma St. L 68-75 7%     0 - 1 +4.8 -4.0 +9.4
  Nov 27, 2020 78   @ Louisiana Tech L 71-76 10%     0 - 2 +4.5 -0.5 +5.4
  Nov 28, 2020 314   Northwestern St. W 80-71 71%     1 - 2 -1.6 -9.8 +6.9
  Dec 02, 2020 12   @ Arkansas L 60-72 3%     1 - 3 +5.0 +0.8 +3.4
  Dec 04, 2020 117   @ Tulsa L 64-79 17%     1 - 4 -9.7 -5.0 -4.7
  Jan 01, 2021 226   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 93-102 40%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -11.4 +7.3 -17.5
  Jan 02, 2021 226   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 62-75 40%     1 - 6 0 - 2 -15.4 -11.4 -4.1
  Jan 08, 2021 278   @ Louisiana Monroe W 77-64 53%     2 - 6 1 - 2 +7.2 +3.1 +4.1
  Jan 09, 2021 278   @ Louisiana Monroe W 75-74 53%     3 - 6 2 - 2 -4.8 +4.2 -9.0
  Jan 15, 2021 195   Louisiana W 91-86 47%     4 - 6 3 - 2 +0.7 +5.6 -5.5
  Jan 16, 2021 195   Louisiana L 51-68 47%     4 - 7 3 - 3 -21.3 -25.4 +4.4
  Jan 22, 2021 226   Arkansas Little Rock L 59-66 55%     4 - 8 3 - 4 -13.2 -19.9 +7.2
  Jan 23, 2021 226   Arkansas Little Rock W 66-61 55%     5 - 8 4 - 4 -1.2 -6.5 +5.5
  Jan 29, 2021 232   @ Arkansas St. L 75-83 OT 41%     5 - 9 4 - 5 -10.7 -6.6 -3.4
  Jan 30, 2021 232   @ Arkansas St. W 65-64 41%     6 - 9 5 - 5 -1.7 -6.1 +4.4
  Feb 05, 2021 278   Louisiana Monroe W 63-56 67%     7 - 9 6 - 5 -2.6 -8.3 +6.2
  Feb 06, 2021 278   Louisiana Monroe W 58-52 67%     8 - 9 7 - 5 -3.6 -9.0 +6.3
  Feb 11, 2021 179   Texas St. L 56-63 41%     8 - 10 7 - 6 -9.6 -11.5 +1.3
  Feb 13, 2021 179   @ Texas St. L 68-79 28%     8 - 11 7 - 7 -9.8 +5.0 -16.1
  Feb 22, 2021 195   @ Louisiana L 74-76 33%     8 - 12 7 - 8 -2.5 +2.5 -5.1
  Feb 26, 2021 232   Arkansas St. W 73-71 56%     9 - 12 8 - 8 -4.5 -3.5 -1.0
  Feb 27, 2021 232   Arkansas St. W 64-56 56%     10 - 12 9 - 8 +1.5 -1.5 +4.4
  Mar 05, 2021 274   Troy L 86-91 60%     10 - 13 -12.5 +0.2 -12.0
Projected Record 10 - 13 9 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8 100.0% 100.0
8-9
7-10
6-11
5-12
4-13
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%