Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#232
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#261
Pace68.1#201
Improvement+4.8#19

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#215
First Shot-0.7#201
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#229
Layup/Dunks+0.5#139
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#47
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#329
Freethrows+1.8#56
Improvement+2.0#69

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#258
First Shot-2.4#250
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#244
Layups/Dunks-1.3#226
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#130
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#225
Freethrows-0.7#229
Improvement+2.8#38
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 47 - 78 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 27, 2020 90   @ Marshall L 56-70 13%     0 - 1 -6.3 -19.7 +14.6
  Nov 29, 2020 130   @ Morehead St. L 61-69 20%     0 - 2 -3.7 -2.5 -1.8
  Dec 02, 2020 32   @ Memphis L 54-83 5%     0 - 3 -14.6 -12.7 +1.0
  Dec 09, 2020 342   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 74-75 90%     0 - 4 -19.9 -8.9 -11.0
  Jan 01, 2021 278   @ Louisiana Monroe L 72-84 55%     0 - 5 0 - 1 -17.8 -4.0 -13.4
  Jan 02, 2021 278   @ Louisiana Monroe L 55-62 55%     0 - 6 0 - 2 -12.8 -16.4 +3.3
  Jan 15, 2021 278   Louisiana Monroe W 74-72 68%     1 - 6 1 - 2 -7.6 -4.9 -2.7
  Jan 16, 2021 278   Louisiana Monroe W 93-72 68%     2 - 6 2 - 2 +11.4 +15.7 -4.6
  Jan 22, 2021 195   @ Louisiana L 68-81 35%     2 - 7 2 - 3 -13.5 -7.7 -5.4
  Jan 23, 2021 195   @ Louisiana L 74-77 35%     2 - 8 2 - 4 -3.5 -0.1 -3.3
  Jan 29, 2021 235   Texas Arlington W 83-75 OT 59%     3 - 8 3 - 4 +1.2 -0.3 +0.8
  Jan 30, 2021 235   Texas Arlington L 64-65 59%     3 - 9 3 - 5 -7.8 -8.1 +0.2
  Feb 05, 2021 195   Louisiana W 95-87 49%     4 - 9 4 - 5 +3.7 +17.0 -13.6
  Feb 06, 2021 195   Louisiana W 83-77 49%     5 - 9 5 - 5 +1.7 +5.3 -3.7
  Feb 12, 2021 226   Arkansas Little Rock W 73-62 56%     6 - 9 6 - 5 +4.8 +4.6 +1.2
  Feb 13, 2021 226   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 67-65 42%     7 - 9 7 - 5 -0.4 +2.3 -2.4
  Feb 22, 2021 179   Texas St. L 52-57 42%     7 - 10 7 - 6 -7.6 -15.7 +7.6
  Feb 26, 2021 235   @ Texas Arlington L 71-73 44%     7 - 11 7 - 7 -5.0 -2.7 -2.4
  Feb 27, 2021 235   @ Texas Arlington L 56-64 44%     7 - 12 7 - 8 -11.0 -8.1 -4.4
  Mar 05, 2021 250   Georgia Southern W 62-58 54%     8 - 12 -1.8 -7.7 +6.2
  Mar 06, 2021 144   Georgia St. L 68-71 29%     8 - 13 -1.9 -7.8 +5.9
Projected Record 8 - 13 7 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-15 1-14 2-13 3-12 4-11 5-10 6-9 7-8 8-7 9-6 10-5 11-4 12-3 13-2 14-1 15-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
15-0
14-1
13-2
12-3
11-4
10-5
9-6
8-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
15-0
14-1
13-2
12-3
11-4
10-5
9-6
8-7
7-8 100.0% 100.0
6-9
5-10
4-11
3-12
2-13
1-14
0-15
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%