Pre-tourney Rankings
Sun Belt
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
144 Georgia St. 0.0%   14 - 6 8 - 4 14 - 6 8 - 4 +1.1      +2.6 106 -1.5 210 73.9 73 +3.6 115 +1.6 2
159 Coastal Carolina 0.0%   12 - 7 9 - 5 12 - 7 9 - 5 +0.4      -1.3 210 +1.7 118 73.3 85 -1.2 185 -0.4 3
179 Texas St. 0.0%   17 - 6 12 - 3 17 - 6 12 - 3 -0.7      -2.1 231 +1.4 129 59.1 343 +2.0 138 +3.3 1
191 Appalachian St. 100.0%   16   13 - 11 7 - 8 13 - 11 7 - 8 -2.1      -1.1 202 -1.1 203 62.6 319 -1.5 188 -5.0 8
195 Louisiana 0.0%   15 - 9 10 - 7 15 - 9 10 - 7 -2.4      -0.8 195 -1.7 216 75.6 49 -0.2 166 -1.8 5
197 South Alabama 0.0%   13 - 11 10 - 7 13 - 11 10 - 7 -2.6      +0.7 153 -3.4 262 66.0 253 -1.7 191 -0.5 4
226 Arkansas Little Rock 0.0%   10 - 15 7 - 11 10 - 15 7 - 11 -4.3      -2.7 247 -1.6 212 67.5 217 -5.5 238 -6.7 10
232 Arkansas St. 0.0%   8 - 13 7 - 8 8 - 13 7 - 8 -4.6      -1.5 215 -3.1 258 68.1 201 -6.7 261 -5.6 9
235 Texas Arlington 0.0%   10 - 13 9 - 8 10 - 13 9 - 8 -4.9      -2.7 246 -2.2 230 71.3 120 -4.7 227 -3.9 6
250 Georgia Southern 0.0%   9 - 13 7 - 9 9 - 13 7 - 9 -5.8      -5.2 291 -0.6 191 66.7 235 -5.1 230 -4.4 7
274 Troy 0.0%   8 - 17 4 - 12 8 - 17 4 - 12 -7.5      -5.9 300 -1.5 211 69.8 155 -6.0 250 -8.2 11
278 Louisiana Monroe 0.0%   7 - 19 5 - 13 7 - 19 5 - 13 -7.7      -5.8 297 -1.9 221 66.7 234 -9.6 305 -8.9 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Georgia St. 6.0 100.0
Coastal Carolina 4.0 100.0
Texas St. 1.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 7.0 100.0
Louisiana 2.0 100.0
South Alabama 2.0 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 7.0 100.0
Arkansas St. 7.0 100.0
Texas Arlington 4.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 7.0 100.0
Troy 12.0 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Georgia St. 8 - 10 100.0
Coastal Carolina 9 - 9 100.0
Texas St. 12 - 6 100.0
Appalachian St. 7 - 11 100.0
Louisiana 10 - 8 100.0
South Alabama 10 - 8 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 7 - 11 100.0
Arkansas St. 7 - 11 100.0
Texas Arlington 9 - 9 100.0
Georgia Southern 7 - 11 100.0
Troy 4 - 14 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Georgia St.
Coastal Carolina
Texas St. 100.0% 100.0
Appalachian St.
Louisiana
South Alabama
Arkansas Little Rock
Arkansas St.
Texas Arlington
Georgia Southern
Troy
Louisiana Monroe


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Appalachian St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.4 99.7
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 100.0% 98.1% 55.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 55.3% 0.6 44.7 55.3
2nd Round 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0