Pre-tourney Rankings
Memphis
American Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.5#32
Expected Predictive Rating+8.8#69
Pace77.8#25
Improvement+5.5#10

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#120
First Shot-0.4#186
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#46
Layup/Dunks+1.8#100
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#215
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
Freethrows-0.8#230
Improvement+2.4#53

Defense
Total Defense+10.6#2
First Shot+9.2#2
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#65
Layups/Dunks+4.9#25
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#86
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#22
Freethrows-0.8#237
Improvement+3.1#29
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four12.1% n/a n/a
First Round8.4% n/a n/a
Second Round3.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 24 - 34 - 7
Quad 36 - 110 - 8
Quad 46 - 016 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 79   St. Mary's W 73-56 68%     1 - 0 +24.6 +6.2 +17.7
  Nov 26, 2020 88   Western Kentucky L 69-75 72%     1 - 1 +0.3 -0.4 +0.8
  Nov 27, 2020 53   Virginia Commonwealth L 59-70 60%     1 - 2 -1.0 -7.4 +6.8
  Dec 02, 2020 232   Arkansas St. W 83-54 95%     2 - 2 +22.5 -2.2 +21.8
  Dec 04, 2020 327   Central Arkansas W 85-68 99%     3 - 2 +2.4 -15.9 +14.7
  Dec 08, 2020 347   Mississippi Valley W 94-57 99.9%    4 - 2 +4.4 -1.9 +3.1
  Dec 12, 2020 60   Auburn L 71-74 62%     4 - 3 +6.3 -5.1 +11.7
  Dec 16, 2020 143   @ Tulane W 80-74 82%     5 - 3 1 - 0 +9.0 +5.1 +3.5
  Dec 21, 2020 117   Tulsa L 49-56 85%     5 - 4 1 - 1 -5.5 -21.1 +15.5
  Dec 29, 2020 165   South Florida W 58-57 90%     6 - 4 2 - 1 -0.7 -10.3 +9.6
  Jan 17, 2021 117   @ Tulsa L 57-58 76%     6 - 5 2 - 2 +4.3 -6.2 +10.4
  Jan 21, 2021 67   Wichita St. W 72-52 72%     7 - 5 3 - 2 +26.4 +1.4 +25.1
  Jan 24, 2021 170   @ East Carolina W 80-53 84%     8 - 5 4 - 2 +28.8 +6.6 +20.9
  Jan 26, 2021 57   SMU W 76-72 68%     9 - 5 5 - 2 +11.6 +8.9 +2.8
  Jan 28, 2021 57   @ SMU L 65-67 54%     9 - 6 5 - 3 +9.4 +2.3 +7.0
  Feb 01, 2021 99   Central Florida W 96-69 81%     10 - 6 6 - 3 +30.4 +9.1 +16.8
  Feb 03, 2021 99   Central Florida W 75-61 81%     11 - 6 7 - 3 +17.4 +2.5 +14.6
  Feb 06, 2021 170   East Carolina W 66-59 91%     12 - 6 8 - 3 +5.0 -4.1 +9.2
  Feb 24, 2021 143   Tulane W 61-46 89%     13 - 6 9 - 3 +14.2 -16.8 +29.4
  Feb 28, 2021 110   @ Cincinnati W 80-74 73%     14 - 6 10 - 3 +12.3 +6.7 +5.2
  Mar 02, 2021 165   @ South Florida W 73-52 84%     15 - 6 11 - 3 +23.1 +0.3 +22.2
  Mar 07, 2021 6   @ Houston L 64-67 21%     15 - 7 11 - 4 +17.9 +4.9 +12.7
  Mar 12, 2021 99   Central Florida W 70-62 76%     16 - 7 +13.3 -4.1 +16.9
  Mar 13, 2021 6   Houston L 74-76 27%     16 - 8 +17.0 +9.6 +7.3
Projected Record 16 - 8 11 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-15 1-14 2-13 3-12 4-11 5-10 6-9 7-8 8-7 9-6 10-5 11-4 12-3 13-2 14-1 15-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
15-0
14-1
13-2
12-3
11-4 0.0%
10-5
9-6
8-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
15-0
14-1
13-2
12-3
11-4 100.0% 13.2% 13.2% 11.8 0.0 0.2 3.0 9.3 0.7 86.8 13.2%
10-5
9-6
8-7
7-8
6-9
5-10
4-11
3-12
2-13
1-14
0-15
Total 100% 13.2% 0.0% 13.2% 11.8 0.0 0.2 3.0 9.3 0.7 86.8 13.2%