Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Florida
American Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.3#99
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#90
Pace66.8#233
Improvement-1.6#244

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#105
First Shot+2.5#105
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#153
Layup/Dunks+0.5#136
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#166
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#92
Freethrows-0.2#190
Improvement+0.9#123

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#101
First Shot+3.2#79
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#229
Layups/Dunks+0.7#149
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#56
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#137
Freethrows+0.2#170
Improvement-2.5#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 6
Quad 22 - 43 - 10
Quad 35 - 28 - 12
Quad 43 - 011 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 30, 2020 60   Auburn W 63-55 42%     1 - 0 +15.4 -12.7 +27.5
  Dec 06, 2020 4   @ Michigan L 58-80 7%     1 - 1 -0.3 -0.8 -1.2
  Dec 19, 2020 13   @ Florida St. W 86-74 14%     2 - 1 +28.9 +20.1 +8.9
  Dec 22, 2020 110   Cincinnati W 75-70 61%     3 - 1 1 - 0 +7.5 +3.7 +3.7
  Dec 26, 2020 6   Houston L 54-63 14%     3 - 2 1 - 1 +8.1 -6.5 +13.7
  Jan 02, 2021 165   @ South Florida L 61-68 62%     3 - 3 1 - 2 -4.9 -6.5 +1.2
  Jan 14, 2021 134   @ Temple L 55-62 55%     3 - 4 1 - 3 -3.0 -10.3 +6.8
  Jan 17, 2021 6   @ Houston L 58-75 8%     3 - 5 1 - 4 +3.9 -1.7 +4.2
  Jan 23, 2021 57   SMU L 65-78 41%     3 - 6 1 - 5 -5.4 +0.7 -7.0
  Jan 27, 2021 170   East Carolina W 71-64 76%     4 - 6 2 - 5 +5.0 +2.4 +2.8
  Jan 30, 2021 67   @ Wichita St. L 88-93 OT 32%     4 - 7 2 - 6 +5.2 +3.1 +3.0
  Feb 01, 2021 32   @ Memphis L 69-96 19%     4 - 8 2 - 7 -12.6 -3.5 -4.6
  Feb 03, 2021 32   @ Memphis L 61-75 19%     4 - 9 2 - 8 +0.4 -1.3 +2.0
  Feb 06, 2021 117   @ Tulsa W 65-58 50%     5 - 9 3 - 8 +12.3 +4.3 +8.8
  Feb 10, 2021 67   Wichita St. L 60-61 45%     5 - 10 3 - 9 +5.4 +1.4 +3.8
  Feb 12, 2021 143   Tulane W 53-49 72%     6 - 10 4 - 9 +3.2 -8.5 +12.4
  Feb 14, 2021 110   @ Cincinnati L 68-69 46%     6 - 11 4 - 10 +5.3 +7.6 -2.4
  Feb 17, 2021 165   South Florida W 81-65 75%     7 - 11 5 - 10 +14.3 +12.1 +2.9
  Feb 20, 2021 143   @ Tulane W 84-81 59%     8 - 11 6 - 10 +6.0 +13.4 -7.5
  Mar 02, 2021 117   Tulsa W 73-69 64%     9 - 11 7 - 10 +5.5 +6.2 -0.5
  Mar 04, 2021 170   @ East Carolina W 64-60 63%     10 - 11 8 - 10 +5.8 -6.2 +11.9
  Mar 11, 2021 170   East Carolina W 72-62 70%     11 - 11 +9.9 +5.0 +5.4
  Mar 12, 2021 32   Memphis L 62-70 24%     11 - 12 +4.5 -3.7 +8.6
Projected Record 11 - 12 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%