Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.0#13
Expected Predictive Rating+14.2#22
Pace72.7#91
Improvement-1.3#231

Offense
Total Offense+9.9#10
First Shot+7.2#17
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#23
Layup/Dunks+2.5#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#77
Freethrows+2.6#21
Improvement-1.1#238

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#51
First Shot+6.9#13
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#311
Layups/Dunks+6.6#8
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#38
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#223
Freethrows-0.4#207
Improvement-0.2#187
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.4% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 23.7% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 86.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round73.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen39.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight15.2% n/a n/a
Final Four6.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 21 - 2
Quad 1b2 - 23 - 4
Quad 27 - 110 - 5
Quad 32 - 112 - 6
Quad 44 - 016 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 02, 2020 285   North Florida W 86-58 98%     1 - 0 +17.9 +1.8 +15.2
  Dec 09, 2020 44   Indiana W 69-67 OT 72%     2 - 0 +10.8 +1.5 +9.3
  Dec 12, 2020 34   Florida W 83-71 67%     3 - 0 +22.5 +8.4 +13.1
  Dec 15, 2020 31   Georgia Tech W 74-61 65%     4 - 0 1 - 0 +23.9 +12.1 +13.0
  Dec 19, 2020 99   Central Florida L 74-86 86%     4 - 1 -8.6 +3.6 -12.3
  Dec 21, 2020 198   Gardner-Webb W 72-59 95%     5 - 1 +8.5 -9.0 +16.8
  Dec 29, 2020 45   @ Clemson L 67-77 59%     5 - 2 1 - 1 +2.6 -0.6 +3.6
  Jan 13, 2021 72   North Carolina St. W 105-73 80%     6 - 2 2 - 1 +38.1 +36.3 +2.5
  Jan 16, 2021 19   North Carolina W 82-75 59%     7 - 2 3 - 1 +19.7 +16.5 +3.1
  Jan 18, 2021 61   @ Louisville W 78-65 65%     8 - 2 4 - 1 +24.0 +16.3 +8.5
  Jan 23, 2021 45   Clemson W 80-61 73%     9 - 2 5 - 1 +27.8 +14.3 +13.7
  Jan 27, 2021 121   Miami (FL) W 81-59 89%     10 - 2 6 - 1 +23.3 +11.3 +12.5
  Jan 30, 2021 31   @ Georgia Tech L 65-76 51%     10 - 3 6 - 2 +3.7 -4.5 +8.7
  Feb 13, 2021 148   Wake Forest W 92-85 OT 92%     11 - 3 7 - 2 +6.0 +11.6 -6.0
  Feb 15, 2021 16   Virginia W 81-60 58%     12 - 3 8 - 2 +33.8 +23.8 +12.7
  Feb 20, 2021 86   @ Pittsburgh W 79-72 73%     13 - 3 9 - 2 +15.6 +8.1 +7.4
  Feb 24, 2021 121   @ Miami (FL) W 88-71 82%     14 - 3 10 - 2 +22.1 +18.7 +3.5
  Feb 27, 2021 19   @ North Carolina L 70-78 44%     14 - 4 10 - 3 +8.5 +1.7 +7.4
  Mar 03, 2021 147   Boston College W 93-64 92%     15 - 4 11 - 3 +28.0 +9.5 +15.7
  Mar 06, 2021 84   @ Notre Dame L 73-83 72%     15 - 5 11 - 4 -1.0 -6.5 +6.4
  Mar 12, 2021 19   North Carolina W 69-66 52%     16 - 5 +17.6 +3.6 +13.9
  Mar 13, 2021 31   Georgia Tech L 75-80 58%     16 - 6 +7.8 +8.7 -0.9
Projected Record 16 - 6 11 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-15 1-14 2-13 3-12 4-11 5-10 6-9 7-8 8-7 9-6 10-5 11-4 12-3 13-2 14-1 15-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
15-0
14-1
13-2
12-3
11-4 0.0%
10-5
9-6
8-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
15-0
14-1
13-2
12-3
11-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.3 0.0 0.4 6.3 17.0 33.9 29.0 12.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
10-5
9-6
8-7
7-8
6-9
5-10
4-11
3-12
2-13
1-14
0-15
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.3 0.0 0.4 6.3 17.0 33.9 29.0 12.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%