Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina
Atlantic Coast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.6#19
Expected Predictive Rating+13.0#33
Pace76.5#36
Improvement+5.4#11

Offense
Total Offense+6.1#42
First Shot+0.4#165
After Offensive Rebound+5.7#2
Layup/Dunks+4.2#37
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#332
Freethrows+1.7#63
Improvement+3.1#30

Defense
Total Defense+8.5#11
First Shot+8.6#6
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#178
Layups/Dunks+3.2#64
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#110
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#114
Freethrows+3.1#10
Improvement+2.3#58
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 5.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 98.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 98.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round98.8% n/a n/a
Second Round58.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen18.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight9.0% n/a n/a
Final Four3.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 33 - 9
Quad 28 - 011 - 9
Quad 34 - 115 - 10
Quad 43 - 018 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 205   College of Charleston W 79-60 96%     1 - 0 +13.8 -2.2 +15.2
  Nov 30, 2020 166   UNLV W 78-51 90%     2 - 0 +27.2 +1.7 +24.6
  Dec 01, 2020 82   Stanford W 67-63 76%     3 - 0 +11.3 -1.0 +12.3
  Dec 02, 2020 25   Texas L 67-69 51%     3 - 1 +12.3 +1.8 +10.5
  Dec 08, 2020 5   @ Iowa L 80-93 26%     3 - 2 +8.3 +4.6 +5.1
  Dec 12, 2020 331   NC Central W 73-67 99%     4 - 2 -8.9 -7.7 -1.3
  Dec 19, 2020 46   Kentucky W 75-63 65%     5 - 2 +22.7 +8.3 +14.4
  Dec 22, 2020 72   @ North Carolina St. L 76-79 67%     5 - 3 0 - 1 +6.9 +0.2 +7.0
  Dec 30, 2020 31   @ Georgia Tech L 67-72 49%     5 - 4 0 - 2 +9.7 +0.4 +9.3
  Jan 02, 2021 84   Notre Dame W 66-65 81%     6 - 4 1 - 2 +6.2 -2.0 +8.3
  Jan 05, 2021 121   @ Miami (FL) W 67-65 81%     7 - 4 2 - 2 +7.1 -8.4 +15.3
  Jan 12, 2021 40   Syracuse W 81-75 69%     8 - 4 3 - 2 +15.3 +9.9 +5.4
  Jan 16, 2021 13   @ Florida St. L 75-82 41%     8 - 5 3 - 3 +9.9 +8.0 +1.9
  Jan 20, 2021 148   Wake Forest W 80-73 92%     9 - 5 4 - 3 +6.0 -0.7 +6.1
  Jan 23, 2021 72   North Carolina St. W 86-76 79%     10 - 5 5 - 3 +16.1 +8.4 +6.9
  Jan 26, 2021 86   @ Pittsburgh W 75-65 72%     11 - 5 6 - 3 +18.6 +11.2 +8.1
  Feb 02, 2021 45   @ Clemson L 50-63 58%     11 - 6 6 - 4 -0.4 -10.4 +9.0
  Feb 06, 2021 35   @ Duke W 91-87 52%     12 - 6 7 - 4 +18.2 +15.6 +2.3
  Feb 13, 2021 16   @ Virginia L 48-60 42%     12 - 7 7 - 5 +4.6 -8.2 +10.5
  Feb 17, 2021 155   Northeastern W 82-62 92%     13 - 7 +18.7 +6.3 +11.2
  Feb 20, 2021 61   Louisville W 99-54 76%     14 - 7 8 - 5 +52.2 +27.3 +23.3
  Feb 24, 2021 69   Marquette L 70-83 78%     14 - 8 -6.6 -4.9 -0.7
  Feb 27, 2021 13   Florida St. W 78-70 56%     15 - 8 9 - 5 +21.1 +3.8 +16.7
  Mar 01, 2021 40   @ Syracuse L 70-72 56%     15 - 9 9 - 6 +11.1 -0.8 +12.0
  Mar 06, 2021 35   Duke W 91-73 66%     16 - 9 10 - 6 +28.4 +9.4 +16.7
  Mar 10, 2021 84   Notre Dame W 101-59 76%     17 - 9 +49.1 +26.0 +22.5
  Mar 11, 2021 49   Virginia Tech W 81-73 65%     18 - 9 +18.5 +11.7 +6.7
  Mar 12, 2021 13   Florida St. L 66-69 48%     18 - 10 +12.0 -2.7 +14.8
Projected Record 18 - 10 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 98.8% 98.8% 8.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 4.6 18.4 37.3 31.6 5.7 0.1 1.2 98.8%
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 98.8% 0.0% 98.8% 8.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 4.6 18.4 37.3 31.6 5.7 0.1 1.2 98.8%