Pre-tourney Rankings
Duke
Atlantic Coast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.3#35
Expected Predictive Rating+8.8#67
Pace69.8#157
Improvement+4.7#21

Offense
Total Offense+8.8#14
First Shot+6.5#29
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#45
Layup/Dunks+4.5#30
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#170
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#88
Freethrows-0.3#197
Improvement+3.6#21

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#77
First Shot+2.1#99
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#71
Layups/Dunks-2.1#256
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#44
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#119
Freethrows+1.3#89
Improvement+1.1#116
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four13.7% n/a n/a
First Round8.4% n/a n/a
Second Round3.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 5
Quad 25 - 47 - 9
Quad 32 - 29 - 11
Quad 44 - 013 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 293   Coppin St. W 81-71 97%     1 - 0 -0.5 +0.0 -1.3
  Dec 01, 2020 54   Michigan St. L 69-75 66%     1 - 1 +2.0 -5.0 +7.5
  Dec 04, 2020 185   Bellarmine W 76-54 92%     2 - 1 +18.5 -0.7 +19.4
  Dec 08, 2020 2   Illinois L 68-83 26%     2 - 2 +3.9 -0.8 +5.8
  Dec 16, 2020 84   @ Notre Dame W 75-65 62%     3 - 2 1 - 0 +19.0 +11.7 +8.5
  Jan 06, 2021 147   Boston College W 83-82 89%     4 - 2 2 - 0 +0.0 +4.7 -4.7
  Jan 09, 2021 148   Wake Forest W 79-68 89%     5 - 2 3 - 0 +10.0 +11.8 -0.9
  Jan 12, 2021 49   @ Virginia Tech L 67-74 49%     5 - 3 3 - 1 +5.4 +1.0 +4.4
  Jan 19, 2021 86   @ Pittsburgh L 73-79 64%     5 - 4 3 - 2 +2.6 -1.4 +4.3
  Jan 23, 2021 61   @ Louisville L 65-70 55%     5 - 5 3 - 3 +6.0 +2.3 +3.4
  Jan 26, 2021 31   Georgia Tech W 75-68 55%     6 - 5 4 - 3 +17.9 +4.6 +13.1
  Jan 30, 2021 45   Clemson W 79-53 63%     7 - 5 5 - 3 +34.8 +18.6 +18.2
  Feb 01, 2021 121   @ Miami (FL) L 75-77 75%     7 - 6 5 - 4 +3.1 +6.2 -3.1
  Feb 06, 2021 19   North Carolina L 87-91 48%     7 - 7 5 - 5 +8.7 +15.0 -6.0
  Feb 09, 2021 84   Notre Dame L 89-93 75%     7 - 8 5 - 6 +1.2 +14.4 -13.1
  Feb 13, 2021 72   @ North Carolina St. W 69-53 59%     8 - 8 6 - 6 +25.9 +8.6 +19.3
  Feb 17, 2021 148   @ Wake Forest W 84-60 81%     9 - 8 7 - 6 +26.8 +24.3 +6.0
  Feb 20, 2021 16   Virginia W 66-65 48%     10 - 8 8 - 6 +13.8 +8.0 +6.0
  Feb 22, 2021 40   Syracuse W 85-71 61%     11 - 8 9 - 6 +23.3 +17.4 +6.4
  Feb 27, 2021 61   Louisville L 73-80 OT 69%     11 - 9 9 - 7 +0.2 +0.8 -0.1
  Mar 02, 2021 31   @ Georgia Tech L 77-81 OT 41%     11 - 10 9 - 8 +10.7 +2.2 +9.0
  Mar 06, 2021 19   @ North Carolina L 73-91 34%     11 - 11 9 - 9 -1.5 +0.6 +0.1
  Mar 09, 2021 147   Boston College W 86-51 85%     12 - 11 +35.9 +20.1 +18.9
  Mar 10, 2021 61   Louisville W 70-56 62%     13 - 11 +23.1 +9.0 +15.4
Projected Record 13 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 13.9% 13.9% 12.0 0.0 1.3 11.3 1.2 0.0 86.1 13.9%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 13.9% 0.0% 13.9% 12.0 0.0 1.3 11.3 1.2 0.0 86.1 13.9%