Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan St.
Big Ten
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.8#54
Expected Predictive Rating+12.9#35
Pace70.0#150
Improvement+1.0#134

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#95
First Shot+1.5#123
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#58
Layup/Dunks-2.0#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#294
Freethrows+1.9#50
Improvement-1.0#229

Defense
Total Defense+6.5#28
First Shot+6.6#18
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#185
Layups/Dunks+0.5#156
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#103
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#6
Freethrows-0.7#227
Improvement+2.0#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 66.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 66.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four46.3% n/a n/a
First Round43.2% n/a n/a
Second Round14.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 35 - 10
Quad 24 - 29 - 12
Quad 32 - 011 - 12
Quad 44 - 015 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 294   Eastern Michigan W 83-67 96%     1 - 0 +5.5 +2.3 +2.8
  Nov 28, 2020 84   Notre Dame W 80-70 67%     2 - 0 +15.2 -1.2 +15.6
  Dec 01, 2020 35   @ Duke W 75-69 34%     3 - 0 +20.2 -0.7 +20.2
  Dec 04, 2020 175   Detroit Mercy W 83-76 87%     4 - 0 +4.7 -2.5 +6.6
  Dec 06, 2020 276   Western Michigan W 79-61 95%     5 - 0 +8.5 +6.3 +2.9
  Dec 13, 2020 223   Oakland W 109-91 92%     6 - 0 +11.9 +15.9 -6.5
  Dec 20, 2020 74   @ Northwestern L 65-79 50%     6 - 1 0 - 1 -4.2 +0.7 -5.2
  Dec 25, 2020 18   Wisconsin L 76-85 39%     6 - 2 0 - 2 +3.8 +12.0 -8.4
  Dec 28, 2020 63   @ Minnesota L 56-81 46%     6 - 3 0 - 3 -14.1 -13.9 +1.1
  Jan 02, 2021 101   @ Nebraska W 84-77 61%     7 - 3 1 - 3 +14.1 +14.2 -0.4
  Jan 05, 2021 36   Rutgers W 68-45 48%     8 - 3 2 - 3 +33.3 +4.4 +29.7
  Jan 08, 2021 14   Purdue L 54-55 38%     8 - 4 2 - 4 +12.0 -5.0 +16.8
  Jan 28, 2021 36   @ Rutgers L 37-67 34%     8 - 5 2 - 5 -15.9 -24.3 +6.1
  Jan 31, 2021 8   @ Ohio St. L 62-79 20%     8 - 6 2 - 6 +1.7 -6.8 +8.6
  Feb 02, 2021 5   @ Iowa L 78-84 14%     8 - 7 2 - 7 +15.3 +17.5 -2.7
  Feb 06, 2021 101   Nebraska W 66-56 74%     9 - 7 3 - 7 +13.3 -8.2 +20.7
  Feb 09, 2021 39   Penn St. W 60-58 51%     10 - 7 4 - 7 +11.6 -2.4 +14.3
  Feb 13, 2021 5   Iowa L 58-88 23%     10 - 8 4 - 8 -12.5 -8.7 -4.8
  Feb 16, 2021 14   @ Purdue L 65-75 25%     10 - 9 4 - 9 +6.8 +3.8 +2.4
  Feb 20, 2021 44   @ Indiana W 78-71 39%     11 - 9 5 - 9 +19.6 +13.4 +6.3
  Feb 23, 2021 2   Illinois W 81-72 20%     12 - 9 6 - 9 +27.9 +16.9 +11.0
  Feb 25, 2021 8   Ohio St. W 71-67 31%     13 - 9 7 - 9 +18.9 +2.2 +16.8
  Feb 28, 2021 37   @ Maryland L 55-73 34%     13 - 10 7 - 10 -3.9 +0.6 -8.0
  Mar 02, 2021 44   Indiana W 64-58 54%     14 - 10 8 - 10 +14.8 +1.0 +14.2
  Mar 04, 2021 4   @ Michigan L 50-69 14%     14 - 11 8 - 11 +2.7 -9.9 +11.4
  Mar 07, 2021 4   Michigan W 70-64 22%     15 - 11 9 - 11 +23.9 +11.3 +13.1
  Mar 11, 2021 37   Maryland L 57-68 41%     15 - 12 +1.2 -8.8 +9.9
Projected Record 15 - 12 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 66.8% 66.8% 11.2 0.0 0.2 4.7 40.3 21.5 0.1 33.2 66.8%
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 66.8% 0.0% 66.8% 11.2 0.0 0.2 4.7 40.3 21.5 0.1 33.2 66.8%