Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio St.
Big Ten
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.8#8
Expected Predictive Rating+17.6#6
Pace66.1#250
Improvement+1.9#94

Offense
Total Offense+13.6#4
First Shot+12.5#2
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#99
Layup/Dunks-0.1#164
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#40
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#40
Freethrows+5.0#1
Improvement+1.2#112

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#83
First Shot+2.7#86
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#129
Layups/Dunks+2.9#74
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#184
Freethrows+0.7#130
Improvement+0.7#135
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.9% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 16.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 91.4% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round93.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen61.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight37.0% n/a n/a
Final Four15.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.7% n/a n/a
National Champion2.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a8 - 58 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 29 - 7
Quad 26 - 215 - 9
Quad 34 - 019 - 9
Quad 42 - 021 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 202   Illinois St. W 94-67 97%     1 - 0 +22.2 +13.1 +7.1
  Nov 29, 2020 225   Umass Lowell W 74-64 97%     2 - 0 +3.8 -0.5 +4.5
  Dec 02, 2020 130   Morehead St. W 77-44 93%     3 - 0 +33.5 +17.2 +20.6
  Dec 08, 2020 84   @ Notre Dame W 90-85 77%     4 - 0 +14.0 +21.5 -7.3
  Dec 13, 2020 176   Cleveland St. W 67-61 95%     5 - 0 +3.6 -1.1 +5.2
  Dec 16, 2020 14   @ Purdue L 60-67 50%     5 - 1 0 - 1 +9.8 -1.6 +11.0
  Dec 19, 2020 43   UCLA W 77-70 72%     6 - 1 +17.8 +22.0 -2.9
  Dec 23, 2020 36   Rutgers W 80-68 73%     7 - 1 1 - 1 +22.3 +12.9 +9.2
  Dec 26, 2020 74   @ Northwestern L 70-71 75%     7 - 2 1 - 2 +8.8 +8.2 +0.5
  Dec 30, 2020 101   Nebraska W 90-54 89%     8 - 2 2 - 2 +39.3 +19.2 +19.2
  Jan 03, 2021 63   @ Minnesota L 60-77 72%     8 - 3 2 - 3 -6.1 -3.2 -4.0
  Jan 09, 2021 36   @ Rutgers W 79-68 60%     9 - 3 3 - 3 +25.1 +19.6 +6.1
  Jan 13, 2021 74   Northwestern W 81-71 84%     10 - 3 4 - 3 +16.0 +13.0 +2.9
  Jan 16, 2021 2   @ Illinois W 87-81 28%     11 - 3 5 - 3 +28.7 +23.7 +4.9
  Jan 19, 2021 14   Purdue L 65-67 64%     11 - 4 5 - 4 +11.0 +5.1 +5.7
  Jan 23, 2021 18   @ Wisconsin W 74-62 51%     12 - 4 6 - 4 +28.6 +13.0 +16.0
  Jan 27, 2021 39   Penn St. W 83-79 75%     13 - 4 7 - 4 +13.6 +13.2 +0.4
  Jan 31, 2021 54   Michigan St. W 79-62 80%     14 - 4 8 - 4 +25.0 +11.4 +13.5
  Feb 04, 2021 5   @ Iowa W 89-85 33%     15 - 4 9 - 4 +25.3 +22.2 +3.0
  Feb 08, 2021 37   @ Maryland W 73-65 61%     16 - 4 10 - 4 +22.1 +9.3 +12.9
  Feb 13, 2021 44   Indiana W 78-59 78%     17 - 4 11 - 4 +27.8 +17.8 +11.9
  Feb 18, 2021 39   @ Penn St. W 92-82 63%     18 - 4 12 - 4 +23.4 +26.0 -2.5
  Feb 21, 2021 4   Michigan L 87-92 46%     18 - 5 12 - 5 +12.9 +25.4 -12.7
  Feb 25, 2021 54   @ Michigan St. L 67-71 69%     18 - 6 12 - 6 +7.7 +3.2 +4.5
  Feb 28, 2021 5   Iowa L 57-73 47%     18 - 7 12 - 7 +1.5 -8.2 +8.7
  Mar 06, 2021 2   Illinois L 68-73 42%     18 - 8 12 - 8 +13.9 +10.3 +3.1
  Mar 11, 2021 63   Minnesota W 79-75 77%     19 - 8 +13.0 +1.9 +10.6
  Mar 12, 2021 14   Purdue W 87-78 OT 57%     20 - 8 +23.9 +20.0 +3.7
  Mar 13, 2021 4   Michigan W 68-67 38%     21 - 8 +20.8 +13.5 +7.5
  Mar 14, 2021 2   Illinois L 88-91 OT 35%     21 - 9 +17.8 +16.9 +1.1
Projected Record 21 - 9 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.9 16.0 75.4 8.5 0.1 100.0%
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.9 16.0 75.4 8.5 0.1 100.0%