Pre-tourney Rankings
Penn St.
Big Ten
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.5#39
Expected Predictive Rating+10.6#50
Pace71.0#124
Improvement-2.4#281

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#35
First Shot+5.2#50
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#75
Layup/Dunks+0.0#158
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#129
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#52
Freethrows+0.6#131
Improvement-2.9#309

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#59
First Shot+3.6#70
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#78
Layups/Dunks-0.6#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#106
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#81
Freethrows+1.1#96
Improvement+0.5#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 12
Quad 24 - 17 - 13
Quad 34 - 111 - 14
Quad 40 - 011 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 160   VMI W 86-65 88%     1 - 0 +19.5 +4.0 +14.4
  Dec 02, 2020 53   Virginia Commonwealth W 72-69 63%     2 - 0 +11.2 +3.7 +7.4
  Dec 06, 2020 50   Seton Hall L 92-98 OT 61%     2 - 1 +2.6 +9.5 -6.0
  Dec 08, 2020 49   @ Virginia Tech W 75-55 47%     3 - 1 +32.4 +19.4 +15.9
  Dec 13, 2020 4   @ Michigan L 58-62 17%     3 - 2 0 - 1 +17.7 -2.5 +20.0
  Dec 23, 2020 2   Illinois L 81-98 24%     3 - 3 0 - 2 +1.9 +14.1 -11.6
  Dec 30, 2020 44   @ Indiana L 85-87 OT 46%     3 - 4 0 - 3 +10.6 +13.8 -3.1
  Jan 17, 2021 14   @ Purdue L 72-80 31%     3 - 5 0 - 4 +8.8 +3.6 +5.6
  Jan 19, 2021 2   @ Illinois L 65-79 15%     3 - 6 0 - 5 +8.7 -1.4 +11.0
  Jan 21, 2021 36   Rutgers W 75-67 55%     4 - 6 1 - 5 +18.3 +8.6 +9.6
  Jan 23, 2021 74   Northwestern W 81-78 70%     5 - 6 2 - 5 +9.0 +11.2 -2.3
  Jan 27, 2021 8   @ Ohio St. L 79-83 25%     5 - 7 2 - 6 +14.7 +9.6 +5.1
  Jan 30, 2021 18   Wisconsin W 81-71 45%     6 - 7 3 - 6 +22.8 +13.7 +8.9
  Feb 02, 2021 18   @ Wisconsin L 56-72 31%     6 - 8 3 - 7 +0.6 -0.8 -0.6
  Feb 05, 2021 37   Maryland W 55-50 55%     7 - 8 4 - 7 +15.3 -8.1 +23.7
  Feb 09, 2021 54   @ Michigan St. L 58-60 49%     7 - 9 4 - 8 +9.7 -1.1 +10.6
  Feb 14, 2021 101   Nebraska L 61-62 78%     7 - 10 4 - 9 +2.3 -6.8 +9.1
  Feb 18, 2021 8   Ohio St. L 82-92 37%     7 - 11 4 - 10 +4.9 +12.5 -7.7
  Feb 21, 2021 5   @ Iowa L 68-74 18%     7 - 12 4 - 11 +15.3 -1.7 +17.3
  Feb 23, 2021 101   @ Nebraska W 86-83 67%     8 - 12 5 - 11 +10.1 +9.9 -0.1
  Feb 26, 2021 14   Purdue L 52-73 44%     8 - 13 5 - 12 -8.0 -13.7 +5.4
  Mar 03, 2021 63   Minnesota W 84-65 67%     9 - 13 6 - 12 +26.1 +16.7 +9.8
  Mar 07, 2021 37   @ Maryland W 66-61 40%     10 - 13 7 - 12 +19.1 +4.8 +14.5
  Mar 10, 2021 101   Nebraska W 72-66 73%     11 - 13 +11.2 +1.9 +9.1
  Mar 11, 2021 18   Wisconsin L 74-75 38%     11 - 14 +13.7 +15.9 -2.3
Projected Record 11 - 14 7 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-19 1-18 2-17 3-16 4-15 5-14 6-13 7-12 8-11 9-10 10-9 11-8 12-7 13-6 14-5 15-4 16-3 17-2 18-1 19-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4
14-5
13-6
12-7
11-8
10-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4
14-5
13-6
12-7
11-8
10-9
9-10
8-11
7-12 100.0% 100.0
6-13
5-14
4-15
3-16
2-17
1-18
0-19
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%