Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia Commonwealth
Atlantic 10
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.0#53
Expected Predictive Rating+12.1#41
Pace72.1#100
Improvement-2.0#262

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#119
First Shot+2.0#113
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#176
Layup/Dunks+5.5#18
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#317
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#273
Freethrows+2.2#35
Improvement-1.8#277

Defense
Total Defense+8.1#14
First Shot+8.9#4
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#243
Layups/Dunks+3.0#72
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#71
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#14
Freethrows+0.1#174
Improvement-0.1#186
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 93.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 93.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.2% n/a n/a
First Round93.6% n/a n/a
Second Round35.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 22 - 5
Quad 27 - 09 - 5
Quad 36 - 215 - 7
Quad 44 - 019 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 41   Utah St. W 85-69 45%     1 - 0 +27.2 +17.0 +9.5
  Nov 26, 2020 26   West Virginia L 66-78 35%     1 - 1 +2.1 -6.6 +9.5
  Nov 27, 2020 32   Memphis W 70-59 40%     2 - 1 +23.5 +5.7 +17.5
  Dec 02, 2020 39   @ Penn St. L 69-72 37%     2 - 2 +10.4 -0.7 +11.2
  Dec 05, 2020 203   Mount St. Mary's W 60-42 91%     3 - 2 +13.0 -5.8 +20.7
  Dec 09, 2020 299   N.C. A&T W 95-59 96%     4 - 2 +25.4 +11.9 +11.0
  Dec 12, 2020 140   Old Dominion W 77-54 84%     5 - 2 +22.3 +4.4 +17.7
  Dec 15, 2020 238   Western Carolina W 93-68 93%     6 - 2 +18.1 +12.1 +5.0
  Dec 22, 2020 151   James Madison W 82-81 85%     7 - 2 -0.1 -4.7 +4.5
  Dec 30, 2020 196   @ Saint Joseph's W 80-64 84%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +15.5 +1.5 +13.0
  Jan 06, 2021 128   @ George Mason W 66-61 70%     9 - 2 2 - 0 +9.5 -0.9 +10.6
  Jan 09, 2021 106   Rhode Island L 68-83 76%     9 - 3 2 - 1 -12.2 -8.1 -2.9
  Jan 13, 2021 217   @ George Washington W 84-77 87%     10 - 3 3 - 1 +5.1 -5.1 +9.1
  Jan 20, 2021 30   @ St. Bonaventure L 54-70 31%     10 - 4 3 - 2 -0.8 -7.7 +6.2
  Jan 23, 2021 81   Dayton W 66-43 67%     11 - 4 4 - 2 +28.5 -0.3 +30.4
  Jan 30, 2021 194   La Salle W 73-62 90%     12 - 4 5 - 2 +6.8 -1.4 +8.4
  Feb 03, 2021 106   @ Rhode Island W 63-62 63%     13 - 4 6 - 2 +7.6 -2.9 +10.6
  Feb 09, 2021 81   @ Dayton W 76-67 53%     14 - 4 7 - 2 +18.3 +17.0 +2.5
  Feb 12, 2021 30   St. Bonaventure W 67-64 45%     15 - 4 8 - 2 +14.4 +4.8 +9.8
  Feb 17, 2021 70   Richmond W 68-56 64%     16 - 4 9 - 2 +18.3 +0.0 +18.8
  Feb 20, 2021 128   George Mason L 76-79 OT 81%     16 - 5 9 - 3 -2.3 -5.7 +3.9
  Feb 23, 2021 55   Saint Louis W 67-65 58%     17 - 5 10 - 3 +9.9 +2.1 +7.9
  Feb 27, 2021 56   @ Davidson L 57-65 44%     17 - 6 10 - 4 +3.5 -5.6 +8.1
  Mar 05, 2021 81   Dayton W 73-68 67%     18 - 6 11 - 4 +10.5 -0.6 +10.9
  Mar 06, 2021 56   Davidson W 64-52 59%     19 - 6 12 - 4 +19.7 +1.2 +20.3
  Mar 14, 2021 30   St. Bonaventure L 65-74 38%     19 - 7 +4.3 +1.7 +2.4
Projected Record 19 - 7 12 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 93.7% 93.7% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 6.4 39.6 42.6 4.4 0.0 6.3 93.7%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 93.7% 0.0% 93.7% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 6.4 39.6 42.6 4.4 0.0 6.3 93.7%