Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah St.
Mountain West
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.2#41
Expected Predictive Rating+8.9#66
Pace70.8#134
Improvement+3.5#39

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#111
First Shot+0.7#152
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#64
Layup/Dunks+3.1#60
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#259
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement+0.4#160

Defense
Total Defense+8.7#9
First Shot+6.5#20
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#26
Layups/Dunks+5.1#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#166
Freethrows+1.7#63
Improvement+3.2#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 47.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 47.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four17.8% n/a n/a
First Round39.3% n/a n/a
Second Round15.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.8% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 12 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 42 - 5
Quad 22 - 14 - 6
Quad 37 - 211 - 8
Quad 48 - 019 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 53   Virginia Commonwealth L 69-85 55%     0 - 1 -6.0 +1.1 -6.4
  Nov 26, 2020 115   South Dakota St. L 59-83 77%     0 - 2 -20.6 -15.8 -4.7
  Nov 27, 2020 156   Northern Iowa W 82-71 84%     1 - 2 +11.5 +3.0 +7.7
  Dec 05, 2020 24   BYU L 64-67 45%     1 - 3 +9.4 -6.0 +15.5
  Dec 18, 2020 231   Northern Colorado W 63-50 94%     2 - 3 +6.5 -4.7 +13.0
  Dec 21, 2020 320   San Jose St. W 107-62 98%     3 - 3 1 - 0 +31.3 +13.8 +12.3
  Dec 23, 2020 320   San Jose St. W 85-52 98%     4 - 3 2 - 0 +19.3 -8.5 +22.9
  Dec 31, 2020 310   @ Air Force W 83-48 95%     5 - 3 3 - 0 +26.9 +15.2 +15.7
  Jan 02, 2021 310   @ Air Force W 72-53 95%     6 - 3 4 - 0 +10.9 +1.1 +11.5
  Jan 06, 2021 275   New Mexico W 77-45 95%     7 - 3 5 - 0 +24.4 +2.0 +21.8
  Jan 08, 2021 275   New Mexico W 82-46 95%     8 - 3 6 - 0 +28.4 +7.8 +20.3
  Jan 14, 2021 27   San Diego St. W 57-45 47%     9 - 3 7 - 0 +23.9 -2.6 +27.8
  Jan 16, 2021 27   San Diego St. W 64-59 47%     10 - 3 8 - 0 +16.9 +0.5 +16.6
  Jan 19, 2021 66   Colorado St. W 83-64 67%     11 - 3 9 - 0 +25.6 +11.9 +13.4
  Jan 21, 2021 66   Colorado St. L 76-84 67%     11 - 4 9 - 1 -1.4 +3.3 -4.3
  Jan 25, 2021 166   @ UNLV L 56-59 81%     11 - 5 9 - 2 -0.9 -18.6 +17.7
  Jan 27, 2021 166   @ UNLV W 83-74 81%     12 - 5 10 - 2 +11.1 +9.6 +1.4
  Feb 04, 2021 182   @ Fresno St. W 69-53 83%     13 - 5 11 - 2 +17.1 +7.2 +12.3
  Feb 17, 2021 62   @ Boise St. L 70-79 51%     13 - 6 11 - 3 +2.0 +0.1 +2.2
  Feb 19, 2021 62   @ Boise St. L 77-81 51%     13 - 7 11 - 4 +7.0 +9.2 -2.2
  Feb 26, 2021 87   Nevada W 75-72 73%     14 - 7 12 - 4 +7.7 +2.3 +5.4
  Feb 28, 2021 87   Nevada W 87-66 73%     15 - 7 13 - 4 +25.7 +7.7 +16.4
  Mar 04, 2021 149   Wyoming W 72-59 87%     16 - 7 14 - 4 +12.0 -3.5 +15.9
  Mar 06, 2021 182   @ Fresno St. W 57-51 83%     17 - 7 15 - 4 +7.1 -5.8 +13.9
  Mar 11, 2021 166   @ UNLV W 74-53 81%     18 - 7 +23.1 +2.4 +21.0
  Mar 12, 2021 66   Colorado St. W 62-50 60%     19 - 7 +20.5 +0.8 +21.1
  Mar 13, 2021 27   San Diego St. L 57-68 40%     19 - 8 +2.8 -2.1 +3.9
Projected Record 19 - 8 15 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-19 1-18 2-17 3-16 4-15 5-14 6-13 7-12 8-11 9-10 10-9 11-8 12-7 13-6 14-5 15-4 16-3 17-2 18-1 19-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-5
13-6
12-7
11-8
10-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4 100.0% 47.3% 47.3% 10.8 0.0 0.8 12.1 27.7 6.6 0.0 52.7 47.3%
14-5
13-6
12-7
11-8
10-9
9-10
8-11
7-12
6-13
5-14
4-15
3-16
2-17
1-18
0-19
Total 100% 47.3% 0.0% 47.3% 10.8 0.0 0.8 12.1 27.7 6.6 0.0 52.7 47.3%