Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado St.
Mountain West
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#66
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#51
Pace70.7#137
Improvement-1.4#238

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#78
First Shot+4.9#57
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#222
Layup/Dunks+1.9#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#292
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#60
Freethrows+1.7#65
Improvement+0.9#124

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#67
First Shot+3.7#66
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#121
Layups/Dunks+2.2#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#216
Freethrows+2.5#24
Improvement-2.3#287
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 38.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 38.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four21.8% n/a n/a
First Round25.5% n/a n/a
Second Round7.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 22 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 22 - 4
Quad 21 - 23 - 6
Quad 34 - 07 - 6
Quad 410 - 017 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 14, 2020 308   Northern Arizona W 91-52 96%     1 - 0 +27.6 +11.1 +16.8
  Dec 19, 2020 79   @ St. Mary's L 33-53 46%     1 - 1 -10.5 -26.4 +13.9
  Dec 22, 2020 168   Santa Clara W 70-57 79%     2 - 1 +12.9 -8.5 +20.2
  Dec 28, 2020 182   Fresno St. W 75-53 85%     3 - 1 1 - 0 +19.3 +3.5 +16.5
  Dec 30, 2020 182   Fresno St. W 81-59 85%     4 - 1 2 - 0 +19.3 +2.5 +15.5
  Jan 02, 2021 27   @ San Diego St. W 70-67 24%     5 - 1 3 - 0 +18.7 +8.7 +10.2
  Jan 04, 2021 27   @ San Diego St. L 65-78 24%     5 - 2 3 - 1 +2.7 +3.4 -1.0
  Jan 07, 2021 166   UNLV W 74-71 83%     6 - 2 4 - 1 +1.3 -2.5 +3.7
  Jan 09, 2021 166   UNLV W 83-80 83%     7 - 2 5 - 1 +1.3 +9.1 -7.8
  Jan 14, 2021 320   San Jose St. W 90-57 96%     8 - 2 6 - 1 +21.2 +5.0 +14.3
  Jan 16, 2021 320   San Jose St. W 88-61 96%     9 - 2 7 - 1 +15.2 +10.3 +5.6
  Jan 19, 2021 41   @ Utah St. L 64-83 33%     9 - 3 7 - 2 -5.9 -0.4 -5.1
  Jan 21, 2021 41   @ Utah St. W 84-76 33%     10 - 3 8 - 2 +21.1 +17.3 +3.4
  Jan 27, 2021 62   Boise St. W 78-56 55%     11 - 3 9 - 2 +29.2 +8.9 +20.4
  Jan 29, 2021 62   Boise St. L 77-85 55%     11 - 4 9 - 3 -0.8 +3.6 -4.0
  Feb 04, 2021 149   @ Wyoming W 74-72 71%     12 - 4 10 - 3 +4.8 -2.9 +7.7
  Feb 06, 2021 149   @ Wyoming W 68-59 71%     13 - 4 11 - 3 +11.8 -4.7 +16.9
  Feb 27, 2021 310   Air Force W 72-49 96%     14 - 4 12 - 3 +11.1 +1.9 +12.1
  Mar 01, 2021 310   Air Force W 74-44 96%     15 - 4 13 - 3 +18.1 +2.6 +18.7
  Mar 03, 2021 275   New Mexico W 87-73 94%     16 - 4 14 - 3 +4.5 +12.3 -7.8
  Mar 05, 2021 87   @ Nevada L 82-85 50%     16 - 5 14 - 4 +5.5 +12.2 -6.7
  Mar 11, 2021 182   Fresno St. W 72-62 81%     17 - 5 +9.2 +3.7 +6.1
  Mar 12, 2021 41   Utah St. L 50-62 40%     17 - 6 -0.8 -8.1 +5.9
Projected Record 17 - 6 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 38.0% 38.0% 11.1 0.0 0.3 5.5 21.2 10.8 0.1 62.0 38.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 38.0% 0.0% 38.0% 11.1 0.0 0.3 5.5 21.2 10.8 0.1 62.0 38.0%