Pre-tourney Rankings
Fresno St.
Mountain West
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#182
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#149
Pace63.2#308
Improvement+2.2#76

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#197
First Shot-1.2#215
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#140
Layup/Dunks-1.8#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#198
Freethrows+0.5#140
Improvement+2.0#65

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#169
First Shot-1.6#226
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#57
Layups/Dunks+3.6#54
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#341
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#180
Freethrows-0.9#241
Improvement+0.2#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 5
Quad 20 - 51 - 10
Quad 31 - 12 - 11
Quad 48 - 110 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 28, 2020 66   @ Colorado St. L 53-75 15%     0 - 1 0 - 1 -11.6 -13.0 +0.8
  Dec 30, 2020 66   @ Colorado St. L 59-81 15%     0 - 2 0 - 2 -11.6 -12.1 +1.8
  Jan 02, 2021 149   Wyoming L 74-78 51%     0 - 3 0 - 3 -5.0 -5.4 +0.5
  Jan 04, 2021 149   Wyoming W 81-61 51%     1 - 3 1 - 3 +19.0 +11.8 +9.3
  Jan 08, 2021 320   San Jose St. W 79-64 88%     2 - 3 2 - 3 +1.3 +0.2 +1.4
  Jan 10, 2021 320   San Jose St. W 80-65 88%     3 - 3 3 - 3 +1.3 -1.1 +2.3
  Jan 15, 2021 87   @ Nevada L 57-73 19%     3 - 4 3 - 4 -7.5 -9.2 +0.5
  Jan 17, 2021 87   @ Nevada L 65-79 19%     3 - 5 3 - 5 -5.5 -6.2 +0.9
  Jan 20, 2021 62   @ Boise St. L 51-73 14%     3 - 6 3 - 6 -11.0 -14.4 +2.5
  Jan 28, 2021 275   New Mexico W 64-62 OT 80%     4 - 6 4 - 6 -7.5 -13.8 +6.2
  Jan 30, 2021 275   New Mexico W 65-55 80%     5 - 6 5 - 6 +0.5 -5.5 +6.6
  Feb 04, 2021 41   Utah St. L 53-69 17%     5 - 7 5 - 7 -6.7 -4.3 -4.7
  Feb 11, 2021 310   @ Air Force W 69-63 76%     6 - 7 6 - 7 -2.1 +0.7 -2.0
  Feb 13, 2021 310   @ Air Force W 67-64 76%     7 - 7 7 - 7 -5.1 -1.3 -3.4
  Feb 18, 2021 27   San Diego St. L 53-67 12%     7 - 8 7 - 8 -2.1 -8.6 +5.6
  Feb 20, 2021 27   San Diego St. L 57-75 12%     7 - 9 7 - 9 -6.1 +1.1 -10.2
  Feb 24, 2021 166   @ UNLV W 67-64 39%     8 - 9 8 - 9 +5.1 +5.7 -0.2
  Feb 26, 2021 166   @ UNLV L 67-68 39%     8 - 10 8 - 10 +1.1 +2.1 -1.2
  Mar 02, 2021 62   @ Boise St. W 67-64 14%     9 - 10 9 - 10 +14.0 +4.4 +9.8
  Mar 06, 2021 41   Utah St. L 51-57 17%     9 - 11 9 - 11 +3.3 -5.9 +8.3
  Mar 10, 2021 275   New Mexico W 85-77 74%     10 - 11 +0.4 +0.3 -1.0
  Mar 11, 2021 66   Colorado St. L 62-72 19%     10 - 12 -1.5 -2.7 +0.5
Projected Record 10 - 12 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%