Pre-tourney Rankings
San Diego St.
Mountain West
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.8#27
Expected Predictive Rating+14.4#19
Pace64.2#298
Improvement-1.2#230

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#49
First Shot+4.2#67
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#92
Layup/Dunks-3.2#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#21
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#87
Freethrows+0.9#114
Improvement-1.5#261

Defense
Total Defense+8.4#12
First Shot+6.6#19
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#49
Layups/Dunks+9.7#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#259
Freethrows+0.1#171
Improvement+0.3#165
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 4.7% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 43.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round61.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen24.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight10.0% n/a n/a
Final Four3.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 27 - 18 - 4
Quad 38 - 016 - 4
Quad 46 - 022 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 43   UCLA W 73-58 69%     1 - 0 +23.9 +11.8 +14.0
  Nov 27, 2020 119   UC Irvine W 77-58 87%     2 - 0 +20.4 +8.7 +11.7
  Dec 06, 2020 108   Pepperdine W 65-60 85%     3 - 0 +7.6 -7.3 +14.9
  Dec 10, 2020 103   @ Arizona St. W 80-68 75%     4 - 0 +18.9 +6.9 +11.6
  Dec 18, 2020 24   BYU L 62-72 56%     4 - 1 +2.4 -1.0 +2.7
  Dec 22, 2020 79   St. Mary's W 74-49 73%     5 - 1 +32.6 +21.7 +14.7
  Jan 02, 2021 66   Colorado St. L 67-70 76%     5 - 2 0 - 1 +3.6 -0.5 +4.0
  Jan 04, 2021 66   Colorado St. W 78-65 76%     6 - 2 1 - 1 +19.6 +10.8 +9.2
  Jan 07, 2021 87   Nevada W 65-60 81%     7 - 2 2 - 1 +9.7 -3.3 +13.4
  Jan 09, 2021 87   Nevada W 69-67 81%     8 - 2 3 - 1 +6.7 +1.5 +5.4
  Jan 14, 2021 41   @ Utah St. L 45-57 53%     8 - 3 3 - 2 +1.1 -13.6 +13.5
  Jan 16, 2021 41   @ Utah St. L 59-64 53%     8 - 4 3 - 3 +8.1 -2.4 +10.3
  Jan 22, 2021 310   @ Air Force W 98-61 97%     9 - 4 4 - 3 +28.9 +18.2 +9.8
  Jan 24, 2021 310   @ Air Force W 91-59 97%     10 - 4 5 - 3 +23.9 +21.2 +5.3
  Jan 28, 2021 149   Wyoming W 87-57 91%     11 - 4 6 - 3 +29.0 +4.9 +22.5
  Jan 30, 2021 149   Wyoming W 98-71 91%     12 - 4 7 - 3 +26.0 +27.1 +0.7
  Feb 08, 2021 320   San Jose St. W 85-54 99%     13 - 4 8 - 3 +17.3 +8.4 +10.5
  Feb 10, 2021 320   San Jose St. W 77-55 99%     14 - 4 9 - 3 +8.3 -7.1 +14.5
  Feb 18, 2021 182   @ Fresno St. W 67-53 88%     15 - 4 10 - 3 +15.1 -0.1 +16.2
  Feb 20, 2021 182   @ Fresno St. W 75-57 88%     16 - 4 11 - 3 +19.1 +15.7 +6.4
  Feb 25, 2021 62   Boise St. W 78-66 OT 74%     17 - 4 12 - 3 +19.2 +0.9 +17.1
  Feb 27, 2021 62   Boise St. W 62-58 74%     18 - 4 13 - 3 +11.2 -6.0 +17.3
  Mar 03, 2021 166   @ UNLV W 71-62 86%     19 - 4 14 - 3 +11.1 +2.5 +9.1
  Mar 11, 2021 149   Wyoming W 69-66 88%     20 - 4 +3.9 +3.9 +0.5
  Mar 12, 2021 87   Nevada W 77-70 75%     21 - 4 +13.6 +4.8 +8.8
  Mar 13, 2021 41   Utah St. W 68-57 60%     22 - 4 +22.2 +10.3 +13.0
Projected Record 22 - 4 14 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3 0.0%
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.8 0.0 0.8 3.8 12.8 25.7 24.6 18.2 12.2 1.8 0.0
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
8-9
7-10
6-11
5-12
4-13
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6.8 0.0 0.8 3.8 12.8 25.7 24.6 18.2 12.2 1.8 0.0