Pre-tourney Rankings
UNLV
Mountain West
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#166
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#176
Pace64.9#279
Improvement-0.5#202

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#132
First Shot+0.7#150
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#127
Layup/Dunks-2.0#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#72
Freethrows-2.6#322
Improvement-2.0#281

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#204
First Shot-1.9#236
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#102
Layups/Dunks+3.0#70
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#68
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#336
Freethrows-1.0#250
Improvement+1.5#102
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Home) - 84.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 7
Quad 21 - 51 - 12
Quad 31 - 12 - 13
Quad 49 - 211 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 218   Montana St. L 78-91 71%     0 - 1 -18.7 -1.7 -16.2
  Nov 30, 2020 19   North Carolina L 51-78 10%     0 - 2 -12.4 -14.8 +3.2
  Dec 01, 2020 7   Alabama L 74-86 6%     0 - 3 +5.8 +7.7 -1.1
  Dec 02, 2020 56   Davidson L 73-77 19%     0 - 4 +5.6 +4.5 +1.0
  Dec 05, 2020 137   @ Kansas St. W 68-58 36%     1 - 4 +13.8 +7.5 +7.4
  Jan 07, 2021 66   @ Colorado St. L 71-74 17%     1 - 5 0 - 1 +7.4 +1.9 +5.6
  Jan 09, 2021 66   @ Colorado St. L 80-83 17%     1 - 6 0 - 2 +7.4 +13.4 -6.0
  Jan 14, 2021 275   New Mexico W 70-60 85%    
  Jan 16, 2021 275   New Mexico W 77-54 82%     2 - 6 1 - 2 +13.5 +8.6 +6.7
  Jan 18, 2021 275   New Mexico W 53-46 82%     3 - 6 2 - 2 -2.5 -16.3 +14.5
  Jan 25, 2021 41   Utah St. W 59-56 19%     4 - 6 3 - 2 +12.3 -7.7 +19.9
  Jan 27, 2021 41   Utah St. L 74-83 19%     4 - 7 3 - 3 +0.3 +8.6 -8.3
  Jan 31, 2021 87   @ Nevada L 60-89 21%     4 - 8 3 - 4 -20.5 -8.9 -12.3
  Feb 02, 2021 87   @ Nevada L 62-72 21%     4 - 9 3 - 5 -1.5 -3.1 +0.8
  Feb 06, 2021 310   Air Force W 68-58 87%     5 - 9 4 - 5 -1.9 +3.9 -3.6
  Feb 08, 2021 310   Air Force W 69-64 87%     6 - 9 5 - 5 -6.9 +5.1 -10.9
  Feb 11, 2021 62   @ Boise St. L 66-78 16%     6 - 10 5 - 6 -1.0 +5.5 -7.8
  Feb 13, 2021 62   @ Boise St. L 59-61 16%     6 - 11 5 - 7 +9.0 -1.7 +10.5
  Feb 19, 2021 320   @ San Jose St. W 76-60 83%     7 - 11 6 - 7 +6.1 -3.8 +9.7
  Feb 21, 2021 320   @ San Jose St. W 67-64 83%     8 - 11 7 - 7 -6.9 -9.5 +2.7
  Feb 24, 2021 182   Fresno St. L 64-67 61%     8 - 12 7 - 8 -5.7 +1.5 -7.7
  Feb 26, 2021 182   Fresno St. W 68-67 61%     9 - 12 8 - 8 -1.7 +2.6 -4.1
  Mar 03, 2021 27   San Diego St. L 62-71 14%     9 - 13 8 - 9 +2.9 +0.6 +1.8
  Mar 06, 2021 149   @ Wyoming L 69-80 40%     9 - 14 8 - 10 -8.2 -4.5 -4.1
  Mar 10, 2021 310   Air Force W 80-52 87%     10 - 14 +16.1 +3.1 +13.8
  Mar 11, 2021 41   Utah St. L 53-74 19%     10 - 15 -11.7 -11.0 -1.1
Projected Record 11 - 15 9 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-19 1-18 2-17 3-16 4-15 5-14 6-13 7-12 8-11 9-10 10-9 11-8 12-7 13-6 14-5 15-4 16-3 17-2 18-1 19-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 84.7 84.7 6th
7th 15.3 15.3 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 15.3 84.7 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4
14-5
13-6
12-7
11-8
10-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
19-0
18-1
17-2
16-3
15-4
14-5
13-6
12-7
11-8
10-9
9-10 84.7% 84.7
8-11 15.3% 15.3
7-12
6-13
5-14
4-15
3-16
2-17
1-18
0-19
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 84.7%
Lose Out 15.3%