Pre-tourney Rankings
San Jose St.
Mountain West
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.8#320
Expected Predictive Rating-10.1#310
Pace78.5#22
Improvement+1.6#106

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#278
First Shot-3.5#265
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#255
Layup/Dunks-2.3#266
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#168
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#158
Freethrows-1.2#263
Improvement-0.1#180

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#330
First Shot-5.0#313
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#321
Layups/Dunks-3.3#290
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#219
Freethrows+0.2#165
Improvement+1.7#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 15.3% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 7
Quad 20 - 20 - 9
Quad 30 - 30 - 12
Quad 43 - 43 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 11, 2020 79   @ St. Mary's L 61-96 3%     0 - 1 -25.5 -3.1 -21.5
  Dec 13, 2020 321   @ Cal Poly L 71-73 43%     0 - 2 -12.0 -11.2 -0.5
  Dec 21, 2020 41   @ Utah St. L 62-107 2%     0 - 3 0 - 1 -31.9 -8.2 -18.5
  Dec 23, 2020 41   @ Utah St. L 52-85 2%     0 - 4 0 - 2 -19.9 -18.8 +3.8
  Dec 31, 2020 62   Boise St. L 54-106 4%     0 - 5 0 - 3 -42.9 -22.4 -12.7
  Jan 02, 2021 62   Boise St. L 86-87 4%     0 - 6 0 - 4 +8.1 +13.2 -5.1
  Jan 08, 2021 182   @ Fresno St. L 64-79 12%     0 - 7 0 - 5 -13.9 -6.0 -8.3
  Jan 10, 2021 182   @ Fresno St. L 65-80 12%     0 - 8 0 - 6 -13.9 -6.9 -7.0
  Jan 14, 2021 66   Colorado St. L 57-90 4%     0 - 9 0 - 7 -24.5 -14.7 -8.0
  Jan 16, 2021 66   Colorado St. L 61-88 4%     0 - 10 0 - 8 -18.5 -5.9 -13.2
  Jan 21, 2021 275   New Mexico L 51-67 34%     0 - 11 0 - 9 -23.6 -19.7 -4.9
  Jan 23, 2021 275   New Mexico W 83-71 34%     1 - 11 1 - 9 +4.4 +13.0 -8.1
  Jan 28, 2021 310   Air Force W 59-58 43%     2 - 11 2 - 9 -9.0 -10.4 +1.5
  Jan 30, 2021 310   Air Force W 75-62 43%     3 - 11 3 - 9 +3.0 +1.5 +2.3
  Feb 08, 2021 27   @ San Diego St. L 54-85 1%     3 - 12 3 - 10 -15.3 -6.7 -10.2
  Feb 10, 2021 27   @ San Diego St. L 55-77 1%     3 - 13 3 - 11 -6.3 -10.7 +5.4
  Feb 19, 2021 166   UNLV L 60-76 17%     3 - 14 3 - 12 -17.7 -15.5 -2.1
  Feb 21, 2021 166   UNLV L 64-67 17%     3 - 15 3 - 13 -4.7 -8.5 +3.6
  Mar 10, 2021 149   Wyoming L 80-111 12%     3 - 16 -30.1 -3.2 -24.2
Projected Record 3 - 16 3 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13 100.0% 100.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%